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DOI	10.1038/s41612-022-00302-1
	Meteorological flash droughts risk projections based on CMIP6 climate change scenarios
	Sreeparvathy, Vijay; Srinivas, V. V.
通讯作者	Sreeparvathy, V
来源期刊	NPJ CLIMATE AND ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCE
ISSN	2397-3722
出版年	2022
卷号	5 期号:1
英文摘要	Meteorological flash droughts (MFDs) are sub-seasonal-to-seasonal drought phenomena characterized by rapid onset/intensification. This study assesses the changes in trends and hotspot regions of MFDs for the present and five future CMIP6 SSP forcing scenarios (SSP-FS) at global-, continental- and regional-scales. Analysis with 12 GCMs indicates that globally, frequency, duration and severity of MFDs are projected to increase similar to 20-50%, 20-58%, and 26-62%, respectively, with the highest occurrence probability during the summer season. The MFD hotspot regions appeared prominent in arid and semi-arid zones. MFD exposure risk is projected to exceed similar to 1.5 folds in most continents, with the highest risk in the Indian sub-continent. Furthermore, in Europe and South America, which are currently less impacted by MFDs, a considerable increase in hotspot regions (similar to 122-127%) is projected under the warmest SSP-FS. The LULC-classes and elevation range most vulnerable to MFDs, and regional potential hydrometeorological drivers that trigger the development of MFDs are identified.
类型	Article
语种	英语
开放获取类型	gold
收录类别	SCI-E
WOS记录号	WOS:000869197800001
WOS关键词	PARIS AGREEMENT
WOS类目	Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences
WOS研究方向	Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences
资源类型	期刊论文
条目标识符	http://119.78.100.177/qdio/handle/2XILL650/393877
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714	Sreeparvathy, Vijay,Srinivas, V. V.. Meteorological flash droughts risk projections based on CMIP6 climate change scenarios[J],2022,5(1).
APA	Sreeparvathy, Vijay,&Srinivas, V. V..(2022).Meteorological flash droughts risk projections based on CMIP6 climate change scenarios.NPJ CLIMATE AND ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCE,5(1).
MLA	Sreeparvathy, Vijay,et al."Meteorological flash droughts risk projections based on CMIP6 climate change scenarios".NPJ CLIMATE AND ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCE 5.1(2022).