Arid
DOI10.1016/j.jclepro.2022.133302
Spatio-temporal variation and dynamic scenario simulation of ecological risk in a typical artificial oasis in northwestern China
Song, Qi; Hu, Bifeng; Peng, Jie; Bourennane, Hocine; Biswas, Asim; Opitz, Thomas; Shi, Zhou
通讯作者Peng, J
来源期刊JOURNAL OF CLEANER PRODUCTION
ISSN0959-6526
EISSN1879-1786
出版年2022
卷号369
英文摘要Landscape ecological risk assessments have played a critical role in measuring and predicting the quality and dynamic evolution of the ecological environment. In this study, a typical artificial oasis in the Alar reclamation area of Northwest China was selected as the research area. We acquired Landsat images from the past 30 years for the study area. Based on these remote sensing images, continuous long-term series and multi-temporal syntheses were combined to classify and construct a landscape ecological risk index. Our results showed a clear downward trend in the overall ecological risk in the Alar reclamation area between 1990 and 2019. Through scenario simulation, we found that the ecological risk of the research area is predicted to decrease in 2025 and 2030 under the two scenarios of natural growth and strict government control. Compared to the natural growth scenario, the increased area of construction and cultivated land is predicted to be less under the government control scenario, which contributes to the decrease in the overall ecological risk. Therefore, when formulating the overall plan for land use, the government should strictly control the increase in construction and cultivated land and prohibit illegal cultivation and blind reclamation of cultivated land. We used a classification method that is more suitable for the local study area, thereby increasing classification accuracy, and in turn, simulating and evaluating future landscape patterns more accurately. Our study provides a good reference for similar studies to be conducted in arid regions of northwest China and around the world.
英文关键词Ecological risk assessment Spatio-temporal variation CA-Markov model Scenario simulation
类型Article
语种英语
开放获取类型Green Published
收录类别SCI-E
WOS记录号WOS:000844996300001
WOS关键词HEAVY-METALS ; RIVER ; SEDIMENTS
WOS类目Green & Sustainable Science & Technology ; Engineering, Environmental ; Environmental Sciences
WOS研究方向Science & Technology - Other Topics ; Engineering ; Environmental Sciences & Ecology
资源类型期刊论文
条目标识符http://119.78.100.177/qdio/handle/2XILL650/393371
推荐引用方式
GB/T 7714
Song, Qi,Hu, Bifeng,Peng, Jie,et al. Spatio-temporal variation and dynamic scenario simulation of ecological risk in a typical artificial oasis in northwestern China[J],2022,369.
APA Song, Qi.,Hu, Bifeng.,Peng, Jie.,Bourennane, Hocine.,Biswas, Asim.,...&Shi, Zhou.(2022).Spatio-temporal variation and dynamic scenario simulation of ecological risk in a typical artificial oasis in northwestern China.JOURNAL OF CLEANER PRODUCTION,369.
MLA Song, Qi,et al."Spatio-temporal variation and dynamic scenario simulation of ecological risk in a typical artificial oasis in northwestern China".JOURNAL OF CLEANER PRODUCTION 369(2022).
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