干旱区生态环境知识资源中心(Arid): SAPS III is superior to SOFA for predicting 28-day mortality in sepsis patients based on Sepsis 3.0 criteria

Arid

DOI	10.1016/j.ijid.2021.11.015
	SAPS III is superior to SOFA for predicting 28-day mortality in sepsis patients based on Sepsis 3.0 criteria
	Zhu, Youfeng; Zhang, Rui; Ye, Xiaoling; Liu, Houqiang; Wei, Jianrui
通讯作者	Wei, JR
来源期刊	INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF INFECTIOUS DISEASES
ISSN	1201-9712
EISSN	1878-3511
出版年	2022
卷号	114 页码:135-141
英文摘要	Introduction: The discrimination and calibration accuracy of prediction models tends to become poor over time. The performance of predictive models should be reevaluated periodically. The aim of this study was to reassess the discrimination of the six commonly used models for predicting 28-day mortality in patients with sepsis based on the Sepsis 3.0 criteria. Methods: Patient data were extracted from the fourth edition of the Medical Information Mart for Critical Care (MIMIC IV) database. The systemic inflammatory response syndrome (SIRS), Sequential Organ Failure Assessment (SOFA), Oxford Acute Severity of Illness Score (OASIS), Logistic Organ Dysfunction System (LODS), and Simplified Acute Physiology Score II (SAPS II) and III (SAPS III) scores were calculated and collected. The area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUROC) was used to compare the discrimination abilities of the models using non-parametric Wilcoxon statistics. The Delong method was used to perform pairwise comparisons of the AUROCs of the models. Multiple subgroup analyses for age, body mass index, and sex were performed with regard to the 28-day mortality prediction of the models. Results: A total of 12 691 patients were included. The mean age of the patients was 65.97 +/- 15.77 years; 7673 patients (60.50%) were male. The mean SIRS, SOFA, OASIS, SAPS II, LODS, and SAPS III scores were higher in the non-survivor group than in the survivor group. The discrimination for 28-day mortality with the SAPS III (AUROC 0.812, 95% confidence interval (CI) 0.802-0.822) and LODS (AUROC 0.804, 95% CI 0.743-0.765) models was superior to that of the SIRS (AUROC 0.575, 95% CI 0.562-0.589), SOFA (AUROC 0.612, 95% CI 0.598-0.626), OASIS (AUROC 0.753, 95% CI 0.742-0.764), and SAPS II (AUROC 0.754, 95% CI 0.743-0.765) models. The Youden index of the SAPS III model was 0.484, which was the highest among the models. Subgroup analyses showed similar results to the overall results. Conclusions: The discrimination for 28-day mortality with the SAPS III and LODS models was superior to that of the SIRS, SOFA, OASIS, and SAPS II models. The SAPS III model showed the best discrimination capacity for 28-day mortality compared with the other models. (C) 2021 The Author(s). Published by Elsevier Ltd on behalf of International Society for Infectious Diseases.
英文关键词	Sepsis 3.0 Mortality SIRS SOFA OASIS LODS SAPS II SAPS III
类型	Article
语种	英语
开放获取类型	gold
收录类别	SCI-E
WOS记录号	WOS:000807520900025
WOS关键词	INTERNATIONAL CONSENSUS DEFINITIONS ; INTENSIVE-CARE-UNIT ; ACUTE PHYSIOLOGY ; HOSPITAL MORTALITY ; PROGNOSTIC MODEL ; SCORE
WOS类目	Infectious Diseases
WOS研究方向	Infectious Diseases
资源类型	期刊论文
条目标识符	http://119.78.100.177/qdio/handle/2XILL650/393193
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714	Zhu, Youfeng,Zhang, Rui,Ye, Xiaoling,et al. SAPS III is superior to SOFA for predicting 28-day mortality in sepsis patients based on Sepsis 3.0 criteria[J],2022,114:135-141.
APA	Zhu, Youfeng,Zhang, Rui,Ye, Xiaoling,Liu, Houqiang,&Wei, Jianrui.(2022).SAPS III is superior to SOFA for predicting 28-day mortality in sepsis patients based on Sepsis 3.0 criteria.INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF INFECTIOUS DISEASES,114,135-141.
MLA	Zhu, Youfeng,et al."SAPS III is superior to SOFA for predicting 28-day mortality in sepsis patients based on Sepsis 3.0 criteria".INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF INFECTIOUS DISEASES 114(2022):135-141.