干旱区生态环境知识资源中心(Arid): Multi-Scenario Simulation and Trade-Off Analysis of Ecological Service Value in the Manas River Basin Based on Land Use Optimization in China

Arid

DOI	10.3390/ijerph19106216
	Multi-Scenario Simulation and Trade-Off Analysis of Ecological Service Value in the Manas River Basin Based on Land Use Optimization in China
	Du, Yongjun; Li, Xiaolong; He, Xinlin; Li, Xiaoqian; Yang, Guang; Li, Dongbo; Xu, Wenhe; Qiao, Xiang; Li, Chen; Sui, Lu
通讯作者	He, XL
来源期刊	INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF ENVIRONMENTAL RESEARCH AND PUBLIC HEALTH
EISSN	1660-4601
出版年	2022
卷号	19 期号:10
英文摘要	Rapid socio-economic development has had a significant impact on land use/cover (LULC) changes, which bring great pressure to the ecological environment. LULC changes affect ecosystem services by altering the structure and function of ecosystems. It is of great significance to reveal the internal relationship between LULC changes and ecosystem service value (ESV) for the protection and restoration of ecological environments. In this study, based on the spatial and temporal evolution of ecological service values in the Manas River basin from 1980 to 2020 and considering ecological and economic benefits, we coupled the gray multi-objective optimization model (GMOP) and patch-generating land-use simulation (PLUS) model (GMOP-PLUS model) to optimize the LULC structure under three scenarios (a natural development scenario, ND; ecological priority development scenario, (EPD); and balanced ecological and economic development scenario, EED) in 2030, and analyzed the trade-offs and synergies in the relationships among the four services. We found that from 1980 to 2020, farmland and construction land expanded 2017.90 km(2) and 254.27 km(2), respectively, whereas the areas of grassland and unused land decreased by 1617.38 km(2) and 755.86 km(2), respectively. By 2030, the trend of LULC changes will be stable under the ND scenario, the area of ecological land will increase by 327.42 km(2) under the EPD scenario, and the area of construction land will increase most under the EED scenario, reaching 65.01 km(2). From 1980 to 2020, the ESV exhibited an upward trend in the basin. In 2030, the ESV will increase by 7.18%, 6.54%, and 6.04% under the EPD, EED, and ND scenarios, respectively. The clustering of the four services is obvious in the desert area and around the water system with low-low synergy and high-high synergy; the plain area and mountainous area are mainly high-low trade-off and low-high trade-off relationships. This paper provides a scientific reference for coordinating economic development and ecological protection in the basin. It also provides a new technical approach to address the planning of land resources in the basin.
英文关键词	ecological service value GMOP-PLUS coupled model land use changes trade-offs and synergies Manas River Basin
类型	Article
语种	英语
开放获取类型	gold, Green Published
收录类别	SCI-E ; SSCI
WOS记录号	WOS:000801459500001
WOS关键词	ECOSYSTEM SERVICES ; ARID AREA ; MODEL ; WATER ; ASSOCIATION ; PATTERN ; REGION ; SCALE ; FLUS
WOS类目	Environmental Sciences ; Public, Environmental & Occupational Health
WOS研究方向	Environmental Sciences & Ecology ; Public, Environmental & Occupational Health
资源类型	期刊论文
条目标识符	http://119.78.100.177/qdio/handle/2XILL650/393153
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714	Du, Yongjun,Li, Xiaolong,He, Xinlin,et al. Multi-Scenario Simulation and Trade-Off Analysis of Ecological Service Value in the Manas River Basin Based on Land Use Optimization in China[J],2022,19(10).
APA	Du, Yongjun.,Li, Xiaolong.,He, Xinlin.,Li, Xiaoqian.,Yang, Guang.,...&Sui, Lu.(2022).Multi-Scenario Simulation and Trade-Off Analysis of Ecological Service Value in the Manas River Basin Based on Land Use Optimization in China.INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF ENVIRONMENTAL RESEARCH AND PUBLIC HEALTH,19(10).
MLA	Du, Yongjun,et al."Multi-Scenario Simulation and Trade-Off Analysis of Ecological Service Value in the Manas River Basin Based on Land Use Optimization in China".INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF ENVIRONMENTAL RESEARCH AND PUBLIC HEALTH 19.10(2022).