Arid
DOI10.3389/fpubh.2022.833710
Effects and Interaction of Meteorological Parameters on Influenza Incidence During 2010-2019 in Lanzhou, China
Wang, Jinyu; Zhang, Ling; Lei, Ruoyi; Li, Pu; Li, Sheng
通讯作者Li, S
来源期刊FRONTIERS IN PUBLIC HEALTH
EISSN2296-2565
出版年2022
卷号10
英文摘要BackgroundInfluenza is a seasonal infectious disease, and meteorological parameters critically influence the incidence of influenza. However, the meteorological parameters linked to influenza occurrence in semi-arid areas are not studied in detail. This study aimed to clarify the impact of meteorological parameters on influenza incidence during 2010-2019 in Lanzhou. The results are expected to facilitate the optimization of influenza-related public health policies by the local healthcare departments. MethodsDescriptive data related to influenza incidence and meteorology during 2010-2019 in Lanzhou were analyzed. The exposure-response relationship between the risk of influenza occurrence and meteorological parameters was explored according to the distributed lag no-linear model (DLNM) with Poisson distribution. The response surface model and stratified model were used to estimate the interactive effect between relative humidity (RH) and other meteorological parameters on influenza incidence. ResultsA total of 6701 cases of influenza were reported during 2010-2019. DLNM results showed that the risk of influenza would gradually increase as the weekly mean average ambient temperature (AT), RH, and absolute humidity (AH) decrease at lag 3 weeks when they were lower than 12.16 degrees C, 51.38%, and 5.24 g/m(3), respectively. The low Tem (at 5th percentile, P-5) had the greatest effect on influenza incidence; the greatest estimated relative risk (RR) was 4.54 (95%CI: 3.19-6.46) at cumulative lag 2 weeks. The largest estimates of RRs for low RH (P-5) and AH (P-5) were 4.81 (95%CI: 3.82-6.05) and 4.17 (95%CI: 3.30-5.28) at cumulative lag 3 weeks, respectively. An increase in AT by 1 degrees C led to an estimates of percent change (95%CI) of 3.12% (-4.75% to -1.46%) decrease in the weekly influenza case counts in a low RH environment. In addition, RH showed significant interaction with AT and AP on influenza incidence but not with wind speed. ConclusionThis study indicated that low AT, low humidity (RH and AH), and high air pressure (AP) increased the risk of influenza. Moreover, the interactive effect of low RH with low AT and high AP can aggravate the incidence of influenza.
英文关键词influenza meteorology distributed lag non-linear model interaction seasonally
类型Article
语种英语
开放获取类型Green Published, gold
收录类别SCI-E ; SSCI
WOS记录号WOS:000766337400001
WOS关键词RESPIRATORY-INFECTIONS ; SEASONAL INFLUENZA ; AIR-POLLUTION ; HUMIDITY ; ASSOCIATION ; MORTALITY ; TRANSMISSION ; TEMPERATURE ; PERSISTENCE ; PATTERNS
WOS类目Public, Environmental & Occupational Health
WOS研究方向Public, Environmental & Occupational Health
资源类型期刊论文
条目标识符http://119.78.100.177/qdio/handle/2XILL650/392868
推荐引用方式
GB/T 7714
Wang, Jinyu,Zhang, Ling,Lei, Ruoyi,et al. Effects and Interaction of Meteorological Parameters on Influenza Incidence During 2010-2019 in Lanzhou, China[J],2022,10.
APA Wang, Jinyu,Zhang, Ling,Lei, Ruoyi,Li, Pu,&Li, Sheng.(2022).Effects and Interaction of Meteorological Parameters on Influenza Incidence During 2010-2019 in Lanzhou, China.FRONTIERS IN PUBLIC HEALTH,10.
MLA Wang, Jinyu,et al."Effects and Interaction of Meteorological Parameters on Influenza Incidence During 2010-2019 in Lanzhou, China".FRONTIERS IN PUBLIC HEALTH 10(2022).
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