Knowledge Resource Center for Ecological Environment in Arid Area
DOI | 10.3389/fpubh.2022.833710 |
Effects and Interaction of Meteorological Parameters on Influenza Incidence During 2010-2019 in Lanzhou, China | |
Wang, Jinyu; Zhang, Ling; Lei, Ruoyi; Li, Pu; Li, Sheng | |
通讯作者 | Li, S |
来源期刊 | FRONTIERS IN PUBLIC HEALTH
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EISSN | 2296-2565 |
出版年 | 2022 |
卷号 | 10 |
英文摘要 | BackgroundInfluenza is a seasonal infectious disease, and meteorological parameters critically influence the incidence of influenza. However, the meteorological parameters linked to influenza occurrence in semi-arid areas are not studied in detail. This study aimed to clarify the impact of meteorological parameters on influenza incidence during 2010-2019 in Lanzhou. The results are expected to facilitate the optimization of influenza-related public health policies by the local healthcare departments. MethodsDescriptive data related to influenza incidence and meteorology during 2010-2019 in Lanzhou were analyzed. The exposure-response relationship between the risk of influenza occurrence and meteorological parameters was explored according to the distributed lag no-linear model (DLNM) with Poisson distribution. The response surface model and stratified model were used to estimate the interactive effect between relative humidity (RH) and other meteorological parameters on influenza incidence. ResultsA total of 6701 cases of influenza were reported during 2010-2019. DLNM results showed that the risk of influenza would gradually increase as the weekly mean average ambient temperature (AT), RH, and absolute humidity (AH) decrease at lag 3 weeks when they were lower than 12.16 degrees C, 51.38%, and 5.24 g/m(3), respectively. The low Tem (at 5th percentile, P-5) had the greatest effect on influenza incidence; the greatest estimated relative risk (RR) was 4.54 (95%CI: 3.19-6.46) at cumulative lag 2 weeks. The largest estimates of RRs for low RH (P-5) and AH (P-5) were 4.81 (95%CI: 3.82-6.05) and 4.17 (95%CI: 3.30-5.28) at cumulative lag 3 weeks, respectively. An increase in AT by 1 degrees C led to an estimates of percent change (95%CI) of 3.12% (-4.75% to -1.46%) decrease in the weekly influenza case counts in a low RH environment. In addition, RH showed significant interaction with AT and AP on influenza incidence but not with wind speed. ConclusionThis study indicated that low AT, low humidity (RH and AH), and high air pressure (AP) increased the risk of influenza. Moreover, the interactive effect of low RH with low AT and high AP can aggravate the incidence of influenza. |
英文关键词 | influenza meteorology distributed lag non-linear model interaction seasonally |
类型 | Article |
语种 | 英语 |
开放获取类型 | Green Published, gold |
收录类别 | SCI-E ; SSCI |
WOS记录号 | WOS:000766337400001 |
WOS关键词 | RESPIRATORY-INFECTIONS ; SEASONAL INFLUENZA ; AIR-POLLUTION ; HUMIDITY ; ASSOCIATION ; MORTALITY ; TRANSMISSION ; TEMPERATURE ; PERSISTENCE ; PATTERNS |
WOS类目 | Public, Environmental & Occupational Health |
WOS研究方向 | Public, Environmental & Occupational Health |
资源类型 | 期刊论文 |
条目标识符 | http://119.78.100.177/qdio/handle/2XILL650/392868 |
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Wang, Jinyu,Zhang, Ling,Lei, Ruoyi,et al. Effects and Interaction of Meteorological Parameters on Influenza Incidence During 2010-2019 in Lanzhou, China[J],2022,10. |
APA | Wang, Jinyu,Zhang, Ling,Lei, Ruoyi,Li, Pu,&Li, Sheng.(2022).Effects and Interaction of Meteorological Parameters on Influenza Incidence During 2010-2019 in Lanzhou, China.FRONTIERS IN PUBLIC HEALTH,10. |
MLA | Wang, Jinyu,et al."Effects and Interaction of Meteorological Parameters on Influenza Incidence During 2010-2019 in Lanzhou, China".FRONTIERS IN PUBLIC HEALTH 10(2022). |
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