Arid
DOI10.3389/fpls.2022.1031859
The effects of landscape change on habitat quality in arid desert areas based on future scenarios: Tarim River Basin as a case study
Zhang, Tianju; Chen, Yaning
通讯作者Chen, YN
来源期刊FRONTIERS IN PLANT SCIENCE
ISSN1664-462X
出版年2022
卷号13
英文摘要Human activities have caused spatiotemporal patterns of land use and land cover (LULC) change. The LULC change has directly affected habitat quality (HQ) and ecosystem functions. Assessing, simulating, and predicting spatiotemporal changes and future trends under different scenarios of LULC-influenced HQ is beneficial to land use planners and decision-makers, helping them to formulate plans in a sustainable and responsible way. This study assesses and simulates the HQ of the Tarim River Basin (TRB) using the future land use simulation model (FLUS), the Integrated Valuation of Ecosystem Services and Trade-offs (InVEST) model, and partial least squares regression (PLSR). Since 2000, the TRB has experienced a declining trend in HQ from 0.449 to 0.444, especially in the lower elevations (740-2000m) and on sloped land (<10 degrees). The decline will continue unless effective and sustainable plans are implemented to halt it. Agricultural and settlement areas have a lower HQ and a higher degree of habitat degradation than native habitats. This shows that the expansion of oasis agriculture (with an annual growth rate of 372.17 km(2)) and settlements (with an annual growth rate of 23.50 km(2)) has caused a decline in native habitat and subsequent habitat fragmentation. In other words, changes in LULC have caused a decline in the HQ. Moreover, there is a significant negative correlation between HQ and urbanization rate (p<0.01), and the PLSR also indicate that number of patches (NP), area-weighted mean fractal dimension index (FRAC_AM), percentage of landscape (PLAND), and largest patch index (LPI) were also important contributors to worsening the HQ. Therefore, the TRB urgently needs appropriate strategies to preserve its natural habitats into the future, based on the ecological priority scenario (EPS) and harmonious development scenario (HDS), which can help to maintain a high-quality habitat.
英文关键词FLUS model InVEST model partial least squares regression anthropogenic factors land use land cover landscape dynamics
类型Article
语种英语
开放获取类型gold, Green Published
收录类别SCI-E
WOS记录号WOS:000881836500001
WOS关键词PATTERN ; MODEL ; URBANIZATION ; FLUS
WOS类目Plant Sciences
WOS研究方向Plant Sciences
资源类型期刊论文
条目标识符http://119.78.100.177/qdio/handle/2XILL650/392863
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GB/T 7714
Zhang, Tianju,Chen, Yaning. The effects of landscape change on habitat quality in arid desert areas based on future scenarios: Tarim River Basin as a case study[J],2022,13.
APA Zhang, Tianju,&Chen, Yaning.(2022).The effects of landscape change on habitat quality in arid desert areas based on future scenarios: Tarim River Basin as a case study.FRONTIERS IN PLANT SCIENCE,13.
MLA Zhang, Tianju,et al."The effects of landscape change on habitat quality in arid desert areas based on future scenarios: Tarim River Basin as a case study".FRONTIERS IN PLANT SCIENCE 13(2022).
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