Arid
DOI10.3390/en15249405
Multi-Criteria Future Energy System Planning and Analysis for Hot Arid Areas of Iran
Yousefi, Hossein; Ghodusinejad, Mohammad Hasan; Ghodrati, Armin
通讯作者Ghodusinejad, MH
来源期刊ENERGIES
EISSN1996-1073
出版年2022
卷号15期号:24
英文摘要An increase in energy demand in the coming years is inevitable, and therefore it is necessary to provide optimal solutions for this future need. This paper examines the future energy demands of the southern regions of Iran (with a hot and dry climate and high energy needs). In this regard, the overall structure of the research has been divided into three parts. In the first part, using historical energy consumption data, the energy demand in 2030 is predicted. This is carried out utilizing a time series analysis method, namely Holt-Winters. Then, relying on the plans of the Iran Ministry of Energy, various energy plans have been designed and energy modeling has been carried out for both base and forecast years. Finally, regarding a multi-criteria decision-making approach, energy plans are ranked and the best scenarios are selected and analyzed. The results of modeling and multi-criteria analysis showed that comprehensive and simultaneous development in the construction of thermal and renewable power plants is the best option to meet future energy needs.
英文关键词energy planning demand forecasting Holt-Winters CRITIC EDAS
类型Article
语种英语
开放获取类型gold
收录类别SCI-E
WOS记录号WOS:000900978600001
WOS类目Energy & Fuels
WOS研究方向Energy & Fuels
资源类型期刊论文
条目标识符http://119.78.100.177/qdio/handle/2XILL650/392411
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GB/T 7714
Yousefi, Hossein,Ghodusinejad, Mohammad Hasan,Ghodrati, Armin. Multi-Criteria Future Energy System Planning and Analysis for Hot Arid Areas of Iran[J],2022,15(24).
APA Yousefi, Hossein,Ghodusinejad, Mohammad Hasan,&Ghodrati, Armin.(2022).Multi-Criteria Future Energy System Planning and Analysis for Hot Arid Areas of Iran.ENERGIES,15(24).
MLA Yousefi, Hossein,et al."Multi-Criteria Future Energy System Planning and Analysis for Hot Arid Areas of Iran".ENERGIES 15.24(2022).
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