Arid
DOI10.1155/2022/1573931
Development of a Novel Nomogram Incorporating Red Blood Cell Distribution Width-Albumin Ratio for the Prediction of 30-day Mortality in Acute Pancreatitis Patients
Pan, Li-na; Pan, Shen-ao; Lei, Bu-huai; Hong, Guang-liang; Chen, Kun-wei
通讯作者Chen, KW
来源期刊EMERGENCY MEDICINE INTERNATIONAL
ISSN2090-2840
EISSN2090-2859
出版年2022
卷号2022
英文摘要Purpose. The available nomograms used to predict acute pancreatitis (AP) are not comprehensive. We sought to investigate the effect of red blood cell distribution width (RDW)-albumin ratio (RA) on prognosis of patients with AP and develop a new nomogram to identify AP patients at high risk for mortality. Methods. We used data from the Medical Information Mart for Intensive Care IV version 2.0 (MIMIC-IV v2.0). A total of 487 patients with acute pancreatitis were included. Patients enrolled in the study were randomly assigned to the training set and validation set at a 7 : 3 ratio. According to the 30-day mortality rate, the data were divided into a survival group and a death group. Multivariate logistic regression was used to establish a prognostic nomogram for predicting the 30-day mortality in AP patients. The area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC), calibration curve, the net reclassification improvement (NRI), the integrated discrimination improvement (IDI), and a decision curve analysis (DCA) are used to verify the overall performance of the model. Results. Among 487 patients, 54 patients died (11.1%). 338 patients were assigned to the training cohort and 149 were assigned to the validation cohort. The multivariate analysis results showed that RA, age, heart rate, temperature, AST/ALT, BUN, hemoglobin, potassium, and bilirubin were independent risk factors. The prediction performance of the newly established nomogram was better than those of other common scoring systems (including SOFA, OASIS, and APSIII). The nomogram suggests that RA (OR = 1.706, 95% CI: 1.367-2.185) is the most significant laboratory test indicator influencing prognosis. Conclusion. The new nomogram incorporating RA performed well in predicting AP short-term mortality. A prospective study with a larger sample is needed to validate our findings.
类型Article
语种英语
开放获取类型gold, Green Published
收录类别SCI-E
WOS记录号WOS:000895999200001
WOS关键词ATRIAL-FIBRILLATION
WOS类目Emergency Medicine
WOS研究方向Emergency Medicine
资源类型期刊论文
条目标识符http://119.78.100.177/qdio/handle/2XILL650/392398
推荐引用方式
GB/T 7714
Pan, Li-na,Pan, Shen-ao,Lei, Bu-huai,et al. Development of a Novel Nomogram Incorporating Red Blood Cell Distribution Width-Albumin Ratio for the Prediction of 30-day Mortality in Acute Pancreatitis Patients[J],2022,2022.
APA Pan, Li-na,Pan, Shen-ao,Lei, Bu-huai,Hong, Guang-liang,&Chen, Kun-wei.(2022).Development of a Novel Nomogram Incorporating Red Blood Cell Distribution Width-Albumin Ratio for the Prediction of 30-day Mortality in Acute Pancreatitis Patients.EMERGENCY MEDICINE INTERNATIONAL,2022.
MLA Pan, Li-na,et al."Development of a Novel Nomogram Incorporating Red Blood Cell Distribution Width-Albumin Ratio for the Prediction of 30-day Mortality in Acute Pancreatitis Patients".EMERGENCY MEDICINE INTERNATIONAL 2022(2022).
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