干旱区生态环境知识资源中心(Arid): Siberian Ibex Capra sibirica Respond to Climate Change by Shifting to Higher Latitudes in Eastern Pamir

Arid

DOI	10.3390/d14090750
	Siberian Ibex Capra sibirica Respond to Climate Change by Shifting to Higher Latitudes in Eastern Pamir
	Zhuo, Yingying; Wang, Muyang; Zhang, Baolin; Ruckstuhl, Kathreen E.; da Silva, Antonio Alves; Yang, Weikang; Alves, Joana
通讯作者	Wang, MY ; Yang, WK
来源期刊	DIVERSITY-BASEL
EISSN	1424-2818
出版年	2022
卷号	14 期号:9
英文摘要	Climate change has led to shifts in species distribution and become a crucial factor in the extinction of species. Increasing average temperatures, temperature extremes, and unpredictable weather events have all become a part of a perfect storm that is threatening ecosystems. Higher altitude habitats are disproportionately affected by climate change, and habitats for already threatened specialist species are shrinking. The Siberian ibex, Capra sibirica, is distributed across Central Asia and Southern Siberia and is the dominant ungulate in the Pamir plateau. To understand how climate change could affect the habitat of Siberian ibex in the Taxkorgan Nature Reserve (TNR), an ensemble species distribution model was built using 109 occurrence points from a four-year field survey. Fifteen environmental variables were used to simulate suitable habitat distribution under different climate change scenarios. Our results demonstrated that a stable, suitable habitat for Siberian ibex was mostly distributed in the northwest and northeast of the TNR. We found that climate change will further reduce the area of suitable habitat for this species. In the scenarios of RCP2.6 to 2070 and RCP8.5 to 2050, habitat loss would exceed 30%. In addition, suitable habitats for Siberian ibex will shift to higher latitudes under climate change. As a result, timely prediction of the distribution of endangered animals is conducive to the conservation of the biodiversity of mountain ecosystems, particularly in arid areas.
英文关键词	ensemble species distribution models suitable habitat latitude shift human distribution mountain ungulates
类型	Article
语种	英语
开放获取类型	gold
收录类别	SCI-E
WOS记录号	WOS:000856303300001
WOS关键词	MARCO-POLO SHEEP ; OVIS-AMMON-POLII ; SPECIES DISTRIBUTION MODELS ; ELEVATIONAL RANGE SHIFTS ; NATURE-RESERVE ; HABITAT SUITABILITY ; ALPINE UNGULATE ; FUTURE CLIMATE ; DISTRIBUTIONS ; IMPACTS
WOS类目	Biodiversity Conservation ; Ecology
WOS研究方向	Biodiversity & Conservation ; Environmental Sciences & Ecology
资源类型	期刊论文
条目标识符	http://119.78.100.177/qdio/handle/2XILL650/392246
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714	Zhuo, Yingying,Wang, Muyang,Zhang, Baolin,et al. Siberian Ibex Capra sibirica Respond to Climate Change by Shifting to Higher Latitudes in Eastern Pamir[J],2022,14(9).
APA	Zhuo, Yingying.,Wang, Muyang.,Zhang, Baolin.,Ruckstuhl, Kathreen E..,da Silva, Antonio Alves.,...&Alves, Joana.(2022).Siberian Ibex Capra sibirica Respond to Climate Change by Shifting to Higher Latitudes in Eastern Pamir.DIVERSITY-BASEL,14(9).
MLA	Zhuo, Yingying,et al."Siberian Ibex Capra sibirica Respond to Climate Change by Shifting to Higher Latitudes in Eastern Pamir".DIVERSITY-BASEL 14.9(2022).