干旱区生态环境知识资源中心(Arid): Analysis of energy carbon emissions from agroecosystems in Tarim River Basin, China: A pathway to achieve carbon neutrality

Arid

DOI	10.1016/j.apenergy.2022.119842
	Analysis of energy carbon emissions from agroecosystems in Tarim River Basin, China: A pathway to achieve carbon neutrality
	Zhou, Yiqi; Zou, Shan; Duan, Weili; Chen, Yaning; Takara, Kaoru; Di, Yanfeng
通讯作者	Duan, WL
来源期刊	APPLIED ENERGY
ISSN	0306-2619
EISSN	1872-9118
出版年	2022
卷号	325
英文摘要	Accounting for energy carbon emissions and analyzing the driving factors from a watershed perspective is necessary and helpful for achieving emission reduction targets in arid regions. Based on Sustainable Development Goals and socioeconomic data, the spatiotemporal characteristics of energy carbon emissions, driving factors, and future trends in the Tarim River Basin (TRB) were analyzed by constructing an index system, and using a Bayesian network and Tapio model. The results indicated that from 1989 to 2018, the energy carbon emissions in the TRB increased (0.75 tCO(2)/capita per year) because of the unreasonable structure of agricultural economic development. We conducted a sensitivity analysis and found that the primary influencing factors of energy carbon emissions in the TRB are low water utilization efficiency (Water) and rapid GDP growth (sdg8_adjgrowth). Although technological progress (sdg9_rdex) has little impact on energy carbon emissions in the short term, its impact cannot be ignored in the long run. In addition, the energy carbon emissions in the TRB will peak in 2030 (66.08 tCO(2)/capita), and then decrease in following years. The continuous increase in energy carbon emissions in the TRB has greatly increased the difficulty for achieving the dual carbon goals. Water resource utilization and economic structure determine the changes in energy carbon emissions. Our findings have important implications for the continued implementation of stringent carbon emissions policies. However, owing to data limitations, only general trends in energy carbon emissions were obtained, and a comprehensive follow-up study is required.
英文关键词	Energy carbon emissions Tarim river basin Human-water nexus Sustainable Development Goals
类型	Article
语种	英语
收录类别	SCI-E
WOS记录号	WOS:000875170400005
WOS关键词	GREENHOUSE-GAS EMISSIONS ; CO2 EMISSIONS ; WATER-RESOURCES ; ECONOMIC-GROWTH ; DRIVING FACTORS ; CONSUMPTION ; CITY ; LAND ; XINJIANG ; NEXUS
WOS类目	Energy & Fuels ; Engineering, Chemical
WOS研究方向	Energy & Fuels ; Engineering
资源类型	期刊论文
条目标识符	http://119.78.100.177/qdio/handle/2XILL650/391849
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714	Zhou, Yiqi,Zou, Shan,Duan, Weili,et al. Analysis of energy carbon emissions from agroecosystems in Tarim River Basin, China: A pathway to achieve carbon neutrality[J],2022,325.
APA	Zhou, Yiqi,Zou, Shan,Duan, Weili,Chen, Yaning,Takara, Kaoru,&Di, Yanfeng.(2022).Analysis of energy carbon emissions from agroecosystems in Tarim River Basin, China: A pathway to achieve carbon neutrality.APPLIED ENERGY,325.
MLA	Zhou, Yiqi,et al."Analysis of energy carbon emissions from agroecosystems in Tarim River Basin, China: A pathway to achieve carbon neutrality".APPLIED ENERGY 325(2022).