干旱区生态环境知识资源中心(Arid): A Transition Towards an Unusually Wet Condition Will Not Alleviate Water Scarcity Risk in Xinjiang, China

Arid

DOI	10.1029/2021AV000589
	A Transition Towards an Unusually Wet Condition Will Not Alleviate Water Scarcity Risk in Xinjiang, China
	Feng, Yingying; Wang, Tao; Chen, Yaning; Zuo, Lijun; Li, Xichen; Xu, Chaoyi; Zhao, Yutong; Zhang, Taotao
通讯作者	Wang, T
来源期刊	AGU ADVANCES
EISSN	2576-604X
出版年	2022
卷号	3 期号:4
英文摘要	The arid Xinjiang region of China exemplifies severe water scarcity regions with a burgeoning agriculture. Whether or not the ongoing wetting, unprecedented in instrumental hydroclimatic records, will become routine has implications for regional oasis economy and China's Go West plan. Here, we show that Xinjiang experienced a one-third increase in precipitation since the 1980s, and that this increase is primarily due to sea surface warming in the Bay of Bengal-west Pacific and tropical North Atlantic. Using the historical precipitation-sea surface temperature relationship to constrain future precipitation changes under a moderate warming scenario, annual precipitation over Xinjiang is projected to increase by 56% relative to the present-day, and the levels of wetness of exceptional years, such as 2010 and 2016, will potentially become a new norm in terms of regional mean within the next few decades. However, such a large precipitation-induced increase in freshwater resources will still be insufficient to rescue the Tarim and Junggar basins from their severe water scarcity dilemma within the next few decades, unless the most-efficient water-saving irrigation strategies are implemented.
英文关键词	Xinjiang precipitation increase water scarcity sea surface warming
类型	Article
语种	英语
开放获取类型	gold
收录类别	SCI-E
WOS记录号	WOS:000839041100001
WOS关键词	GLOBAL PRECIPITATION ; CENTRAL-ASIA ; TELECONNECTIONS ; UNCERTAINTY ; CAUSALITY ; RAINFALL ; BASIN
WOS类目	Geosciences, Multidisciplinary
WOS研究方向	Geology
资源类型	期刊论文
条目标识符	http://119.78.100.177/qdio/handle/2XILL650/391797
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714	Feng, Yingying,Wang, Tao,Chen, Yaning,et al. A Transition Towards an Unusually Wet Condition Will Not Alleviate Water Scarcity Risk in Xinjiang, China[J],2022,3(4).
APA	Feng, Yingying.,Wang, Tao.,Chen, Yaning.,Zuo, Lijun.,Li, Xichen.,...&Zhang, Taotao.(2022).A Transition Towards an Unusually Wet Condition Will Not Alleviate Water Scarcity Risk in Xinjiang, China.AGU ADVANCES,3(4).
MLA	Feng, Yingying,et al."A Transition Towards an Unusually Wet Condition Will Not Alleviate Water Scarcity Risk in Xinjiang, China".AGU ADVANCES 3.4(2022).