干旱区生态环境知识资源中心(Arid): The Impacts of Climate Change on Water Resources and Crop Production in an Arid Region

Arid

DOI	10.3390/agriculture12071056
	The Impacts of Climate Change on Water Resources and Crop Production in an Arid Region
	Shayanmehr, Samira; Porhajasova, Jana Ivanic; Babosova, Maria; Sabouni, Mahmood Sabouhi; Mohammadi, Hosein; Henneberry, Shida Rastegari; Foroushani, Naser Shahnoushi
通讯作者	Foroushani, NS
来源期刊	AGRICULTURE-BASEL
EISSN	2077-0472
出版年	2022
卷号	12 期号:7
英文摘要	Climate change is one of the most pressing global issues of the twenty-first century. This phenomenon has an increasingly severe impact on water resources and crop production. The main purpose of this study is to evaluate the impact of climate change on water resources, crop production, and agricultural sustainability in an arid environment in Iran. To this end, the study constructs a new integrated climate-hydrological-economic model to assess the impact of future climate change on water resources and crop production. Furthermore, the agricultural sustainability is evaluated using the multicriteria decision making (MCDM) technique in the context of climate change. The findings regarding the prediction of climate variables show that the minimum and maximum temperatures are expected to increase by about 5.88% and 6.05%, respectively, while precipitation would decrease by approximately 30.68%. The results of the research reveal that water availability will decrease by about 13.79-15.45% under different climate scenarios. Additionally, the findings show that in the majority of cases crop production will reduce in response to climate scenarios so that rainfed wheat will experience the greatest decline (approximately 59.95%). The results of the MCDM model show that climate change can have adverse effects on economic and environmental aspects and, consequently, on the sustainability of the agricultural system of the study area. Our findings can inform policymakers on effective strategies for mitigating the consequences of climate change on water resources and agricultural production in dry regions.
英文关键词	climate change crop yield cultivated area future climate scenarios water use
类型	Article
语种	英语
开放获取类型	gold
收录类别	SCI-E
WOS记录号	WOS:000833878700001
WOS关键词	MAXIMUM-ENTROPY ; CORN YIELD ; MANAGEMENT ; TOPSIS ; ADAPTATION ; BASIN ; ACCUMULATION ; EMISSIONS ; SYSTEMS ; FARMERS
WOS类目	Agronomy
WOS研究方向	Agriculture
资源类型	期刊论文
条目标识符	http://119.78.100.177/qdio/handle/2XILL650/391692
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714	Shayanmehr, Samira,Porhajasova, Jana Ivanic,Babosova, Maria,et al. The Impacts of Climate Change on Water Resources and Crop Production in an Arid Region[J],2022,12(7).
APA	Shayanmehr, Samira.,Porhajasova, Jana Ivanic.,Babosova, Maria.,Sabouni, Mahmood Sabouhi.,Mohammadi, Hosein.,...&Foroushani, Naser Shahnoushi.(2022).The Impacts of Climate Change on Water Resources and Crop Production in an Arid Region.AGRICULTURE-BASEL,12(7).
MLA	Shayanmehr, Samira,et al."The Impacts of Climate Change on Water Resources and Crop Production in an Arid Region".AGRICULTURE-BASEL 12.7(2022).