干旱区生态环境知识资源中心(Arid): 西北干旱区绿洲县域3类空间冲突分析与模拟

Arid

	西北干旱区绿洲县域3类空间冲突分析与模拟
其他题名	Analysis and Simulation of Conflicts of Three Space Types in Oasis Counties of Northwest Arid Zone
	张云霞; 高敏华; 孜比布拉·司马义
来源期刊	水土保持通报
ISSN	1000-288X
出版年	2021
卷号	41 期号:4 页码:207-
中文摘要	[目的]对西北干旱区绿洲县域3类空间冲突进行分析与模拟,为该区国土空间合理布局、区域可持续发展提供科学参考。[方法]以西北干旱区绿洲县域新疆麦盖提县为研究区,基于土地利用主导功能构建空间分类体系,将国土空间划分为城镇、农业与生态空间;根据景观格局指数构建空间冲突测度模型探讨20092019年空间冲突水平演变特征;通过CA-Markov模型预测2024年空间布局并分析冲突强度变化特征。[结果]①3类空间呈现两增一减的变化动态,城镇空间面积呈逐年递增趋势,由1 537.74 hm~2增加至4 582.24 hmz;农业空间由84 670.06 hm~2增加至107 447.66 hm~2;生态空间面积减少25 822.69 hm~2。②20092019年空间冲突强度显著增强,中等空间冲突、较高空间冲突与高空间冲突评价单元所占比例分别增加了50.41%,13.45%,0.53%。③2024年城镇空间、农业空间将分别增加2 981.19和4 285.96 hm~2,生态空间将减少7 267.16 hm~2;冲突水平以所占比例为60.24%的中等空间冲突为主。[结论]20092019年城镇空间、农业空间逐年增加、生态空间逐年递减,各类空间的无序变化导致空间冲突强度整体增强,通过预测2024年3类空间变化趋势与20092019年保持一致,并以中等空间冲突为主。
英文摘要	[Objective] The conflicts of three space types in oasis counties in the northwest arid zone were analyzed and simulated, in order to provide scientific reference for the rational layout of land space and sustainable development of the region. [Methods] Taking the oasis county of northwest arid zone-Mageti County, Xinjiang Wei Autonomous Region as the study area, a spatial classification system was constructed based on the dominant land use function to divide the national land space into urban, agricultural and ecological space. A spatial conflict measurement model was constructed based on the landscape pattern index to explore the evolution characteristics of spatial conflict levels from 2009 to 2019. The CA-Markov model was used to predict the spatial layout in 2024 and analyze the characteristics of conflict intensity changes. [Results] The area of urban space increased from 1 537.74 hm~2 to 4 582.24 hm~2,and the area of agricultural space increased from 84 670.06 hm~2 to 107 447.66 hm~2,while the area of ecological space decreased by 25 822.69 hm~2.② The intensity of spatial conflict increased significantly from 2009 to 2019,and the proportion of medium spatial conflict, relative high spatial conflict and high spatial conflict evaluation units increased by 50.41 %, 13.45% and 0.53%, respectively.③ In 2024,urban space and agricultural space would increase 2 981.19 and 4 285.96 hm~2,respectively, and ecological space decrease 7 267.16 hm~2. The conflict level would be dominated by medium spatial conflict, which account for 60.24%. [Conclusion] From 20092019, urban space and agricultural space increased year by year,while ecological space decreased, and the disordered change of all kinds of space led to the overall increase of spatial conflict intensity. Through the prediction, the change trend of the 3 types of space in 2024 would consistent with that in 20092019, and the medium spatial conflict was the main one.
中文关键词	3类空间 ; 景观生态指数 ; 空间冲突 ; CA-Makov模型 ; 西北干旱区绿洲
英文关键词	three types of space landscape ecological index space conflict CA-Markov model northwest arid zone oasis
类型	Article
语种	中文
收录类别	CSCD
WOS类目	Agriculture
CSCD记录号	CSCD:7049969
资源类型	期刊论文
条目标识符	http://119.78.100.177/qdio/handle/2XILL650/377907
作者单位	张云霞, 新疆大学资源与环境科学学院;;新疆大学, ;;绿洲生态教育部重点实验室, 乌鲁木齐;;乌鲁木齐, 新疆;;新疆 830046;;830046, 中国.; 高敏华, 新疆大学资源与环境科学学院;;新疆大学, ;;绿洲生态教育部重点实验室, 乌鲁木齐;;乌鲁木齐, 新疆;;新疆 830046;;830046, 中国.; 孜比布拉·司马义, 新疆大学资源与环境科学学院;;智慧城市与环境建模普通高校重点实验室, ;;智慧城市与环境建模普通高校重点实验室, 乌鲁木齐;;乌鲁木齐, 新疆;;新疆 830046;;830046, 中国.
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714	张云霞,高敏华,孜比布拉·司马义. 西北干旱区绿洲县域3类空间冲突分析与模拟[J],2021,41(4):207-.
APA	张云霞,高敏华,&孜比布拉·司马义.(2021).西北干旱区绿洲县域3类空间冲突分析与模拟.水土保持通报,41(4),207-.
MLA	张云霞,et al."西北干旱区绿洲县域3类空间冲突分析与模拟".水土保持通报 41.4(2021):207-.