干旱区生态环境知识资源中心(Arid): Climate Change Impacts on Agricultural Water Availability in the Middle Rio Grande Basin

Arid

DOI	10.1111/1752-1688.12988
	Climate Change Impacts on Agricultural Water Availability in the Middle Rio Grande Basin
	Samimi, Maryam; Mirchi, Ali; Townsend, Nolan; Gutzler, David; Daggubati, Subhash; Ahn, Sora; Sheng, Zhuping; Moriasi, Daniel; Granados-Olivas, Alfredo; Alian, Sara; Mayer, Alex; Hargrove, William
通讯作者	Mirchi, A (corresponding author)，Oklahoma State Univ, Dept Biosyst & Agr Engn, Stillwater, OK 74078 USA.
来源期刊	JOURNAL OF THE AMERICAN WATER RESOURCES ASSOCIATION
ISSN	1093-474X
EISSN	1752-1688
出版年	2022-02
英文摘要	We present a comprehensive analysis of water availability under plausible future climate conditions in a heavily irrigated agricultural watershed located in the middle section of the Rio Grande Basin in the United States Desert Southwest. Future managed streamflow scenarios (through year 2099) were selected from among 97 scenarios developed based on downscaled, bias-corrected global climate model outputs to evaluate future inflows to the principal surface water storage reservoirs, possible future reservoir releases, and groundwater pumping to sustain irrigated agriculture. The streamflow projections describe a wide range of dry and wet conditions compared to the average historical flows in the river, indicating significant uncertainty in future water availability in the Rio Grande Basin. We applied the Soil and Water Assessment Tool to illustrate the impact of climate futures on different components of the water budget at a watershed scale. Results indicate declining reliability of reservoir storage to meet the water demand of irrigated agriculture. The impact of declining surface water can be offset by increasing the pressure on the already-strained groundwater resources. However, the region should be prepared to use slightly saline (total dissolved solids [TDS] > 1,000 mg/L) and moderately saline groundwater (TDS > 3,000 mg/L) as fresh groundwater in the regional aquifer is depleted within the 21st Century under hotter and drier conditions and status quo agricultural land and water management practices.
英文关键词	climate change Soil and Water Assessment Tool Rio Grande irrigated agriculture groundwater depletion water sustainability
类型	Article ; Early Access
语种	英语
收录类别	SCI-E
WOS记录号	WOS:000751759100001
WOS关键词	SURFACE-WATER ; RIVER-BASIN ; SEMIARID REGIONS ; MODEL EVALUATION ; GROUNDWATER ; MANAGEMENT ; DROUGHT ; EFFICIENCY ; STREAMFLOW ; RESOURCES
WOS类目	Engineering, Environmental ; Geosciences, Multidisciplinary ; Water Resources
WOS研究方向	Engineering ; Geology ; Water Resources
资源类型	期刊论文
条目标识符	http://119.78.100.177/qdio/handle/2XILL650/377337
作者单位	[Samimi, Maryam; Mirchi, Ali; Alian, Sara] Oklahoma State Univ, Dept Biosyst & Agr Engn, Stillwater, OK 74078 USA; [Townsend, Nolan; Gutzler, David] Univ New MEX Albuquerque, Dept Earth & Planetary Sci, Albuquerque, NM USA; [Daggubati, Subhash] Oklahoma State Univ Stillwater, Dept Management Sci & Informat Syst, Stillwater, OK USA; [Ahn, Sora; Sheng, Zhuping] Texas A&M Univ El Paso, Texas A&M AgriLife Res Ctr El Paso, El Paso, TX USA; [Moriasi, Daniel] USDA ARS El Reno, Grazinglands Res Lab, El Reno, OK USA; [Granados-Olivas, Alfredo] Autonomous Univ Ciudad Juarez, Dept Civil & Environm Engn, Appl Geoinformat Acad Grp, Ciudad Juarez, Chihuahua, Mexico; [Mayer, Alex] Univ Texas El Paso, Dept Civil Engn, El Paso, TX 79968 USA; [Hargrove, William] Univ Texas El Paso, Ctr Environm Resource Management, El Paso, TX 79968 USA
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714	Samimi, Maryam,Mirchi, Ali,Townsend, Nolan,et al. Climate Change Impacts on Agricultural Water Availability in the Middle Rio Grande Basin[J],2022.
APA	Samimi, Maryam.,Mirchi, Ali.,Townsend, Nolan.,Gutzler, David.,Daggubati, Subhash.,...&Hargrove, William.(2022).Climate Change Impacts on Agricultural Water Availability in the Middle Rio Grande Basin.JOURNAL OF THE AMERICAN WATER RESOURCES ASSOCIATION.
MLA	Samimi, Maryam,et al."Climate Change Impacts on Agricultural Water Availability in the Middle Rio Grande Basin".JOURNAL OF THE AMERICAN WATER RESOURCES ASSOCIATION (2022).