干旱区生态环境知识资源中心(Arid): Where should China practice forestry in a warming world?

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DOI	10.1111/gcb.16065
	Where should China practice forestry in a warming world?
	Zhang, Lei; Sun, Pengsen; Huettmann, Falk; Liu, Shirong
通讯作者	Sun, PS ; Liu, SR (corresponding author)，Chinese Acad Forestry, Inst Forest Ecol Environm & Nat Conservat, Key Lab Forest Ecol & Environm, Natl Forestry & Grassland Adm, Beijing 100091, Peoples R China.
来源期刊	GLOBAL CHANGE BIOLOGY
ISSN	1354-1013
EISSN	1365-2486
出版年	2022-01
英文摘要	As a nature-based and cost-effective solution, forestation plays a crucial role in combating global warming, biodiversity collapse, environmental degradation, and global well-being. Although China is acknowledged as a global leader of forestation and has achieved considerable overall success in environmental improvements through mega-forestation programs, many negative effects have also emerged at local scales due to the planting of maladapted tree species. To better help achieve carbon neutrality and the new vision of an ecological civilization, China has committed to further increase forestation. However, where forestation lands and such efforts should really be located is not so well understood yet and agreed upon, especially in the face of rapid climate change. Based on an ensemble-learning machine, we predicted the spatial habitats (ecological niche) of the forest, grassland, shrubland, and desert under present and future climate conditions based on the natural climax vegetation distribution across China. We show that the potential forestation lands are mainly located in eastern China, which is east of the Hu Line (also known as the Heihe-Tengchong Line). Under future climate change, forests will shift substantially in the latitudinal, longitudinal, and elevational distribution. Potential forestation lands will increase by 33.1 million hectares through the 2070s, mainly due to the conversions of shrub and grassland to forests along the Hu Line. Our prediction map also indicates that grassland rehabilitation is the universal optimal vegetation restoration strategy in areas west of the Hu Line. This analysis is consistent with much of the observed evidence of forestation failures and recent climate-change-induced forest range shifts. Our results provide an overview and further show the importance of adaptive science-based forestation planning and forest management.
英文关键词	afforestation climate change climax vegetation forestation failure Hu Line range shift reforestation tree planting
类型	Article ; Early Access
语种	英语
收录类别	SCI-E
WOS记录号	WOS:000743134500001
WOS关键词	CLIMATE-CHANGE ; CARBON SINK ; DROUGHT ; ECOTONE ; SHIFTS ; CLASSIFICATION ; MANAGEMENT ; REGRESSION ; ELEVATION ; WILDFIRES
WOS类目	Biodiversity Conservation ; Ecology ; Environmental Sciences
WOS研究方向	Biodiversity & Conservation ; Environmental Sciences & Ecology
资源类型	期刊论文
条目标识符	http://119.78.100.177/qdio/handle/2XILL650/377127
作者单位	[Zhang, Lei] Chinese Acad Forestry, Res Inst Forestry, Key Lab Forest Silviculture Natl Forestry & Grass, Beijing, Peoples R China; [Sun, Pengsen; Liu, Shirong] Chinese Acad Forestry, Inst Forest Ecol Environm & Nat Conservat, Key Lab Forest Ecol & Environm, Natl Forestry & Grassland Adm, Beijing 100091, Peoples R China; [Huettmann, Falk] Univ Alaska Fairbanks UAF, EWHALE Lab Inst Arctic Biol, Dept Biol & Wildlife, Fairbanks, AK USA
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714	Zhang, Lei,Sun, Pengsen,Huettmann, Falk,et al. Where should China practice forestry in a warming world?[J],2022.
APA	Zhang, Lei,Sun, Pengsen,Huettmann, Falk,&Liu, Shirong.(2022).Where should China practice forestry in a warming world?.GLOBAL CHANGE BIOLOGY.
MLA	Zhang, Lei,et al."Where should China practice forestry in a warming world?".GLOBAL CHANGE BIOLOGY (2022).