干旱区生态环境知识资源中心(Arid): Foresight Management of National Oil and Gas Industry Development

Arid

DOI	10.3390/en15020491
	Foresight Management of National Oil and Gas Industry Development
	Petrenko, Yelena; Denisov, Igor; Metsik, Oleg
通讯作者	Denisov, I (corresponding author)，Plekhanov Russian Univ Econ, Acad Dept Management Theory & Business Technol, Stremyanny Lane 36, Moscow 117997, Russia. ; Denisov, I (corresponding author)，Moscow Metropolitan Governance Yury Luzhkov Univ, Acad Dept Publ Adm & Personnel Policy, St Sretenka 28, Moscow 107045, Russia.
来源期刊	ENERGIES
EISSN	1996-1073
出版年	2022
卷号	15 期号:2
英文摘要	Changes in modern technologies have led to a decrease in the role of oil and threaten the well-being of oil-exporting countries. The oil and gas industry is the leading one in the economy of Kazakhstan, and the future of the country depends on its development. The purpose of the presented research is to determine the long-term image of the future oil and gas industry and develop a strategy for the government and national companies in different spheres for actions in conditions of increasing uncertainty. The article presents the materials of an expert survey using the Delphi method (211 industry experts) and a group discussion during a foresight session (75 participants), in which the authors provided methodological support and practical participation. The top nine development trends have been identified, the majority of experts (about 90%) see the future of the industry as the development of unmanned production based on digital management and an increase in environmental requirements (85%). The author's methodology is based on a pragmatic approach to conducting an industry technological foresight in the medium term. The visionary image of the development of the oil and gas industry is built on the basis of the possibilities of technological breakthroughs. The refined image was formed as a response to the challenges of the external environment on the principle of the Most Advanced, Yet Acceptable. The main characteristic of the future of the oil and gas industry in Kazakhstan is a deserted production, where the production process is fully automated and robotic. Risks of oil and gas industry development are critical for the entire economy of Kazakhstan, so plans based on industry foresight projections to prevent them are a national priority.
英文关键词	management foresight Kazakhstan oil and gas industry development evolutionary analysis transformation of contemporary management concepts management models
类型	Article
语种	英语
开放获取类型	gold
收录类别	SCI-E ; SSCI
WOS记录号	WOS:000746178400001
WOS关键词	TECHNOLOGY FORESIGHT ; STRATEGIC FORESIGHT ; SCIENCE
WOS类目	Energy & Fuels
WOS研究方向	Energy & Fuels
资源类型	期刊论文
条目标识符	http://119.78.100.177/qdio/handle/2XILL650/376781
作者单位	[Petrenko, Yelena; Denisov, Igor] Plekhanov Russian Univ Econ, Acad Dept Management Theory & Business Technol, Stremyanny Lane 36, Moscow 117997, Russia; [Denisov, Igor] Moscow Metropolitan Governance Yury Luzhkov Univ, Acad Dept Publ Adm & Personnel Policy, St Sretenka 28, Moscow 107045, Russia; [Metsik, Oleg] Lean Technol Ctr SIMKON, Zhambyl St 103A,Off 101, Karaganda 100000, Kazakhstan
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714	Petrenko, Yelena,Denisov, Igor,Metsik, Oleg. Foresight Management of National Oil and Gas Industry Development[J],2022,15(2).
APA	Petrenko, Yelena,Denisov, Igor,&Metsik, Oleg.(2022).Foresight Management of National Oil and Gas Industry Development.ENERGIES,15(2).
MLA	Petrenko, Yelena,et al."Foresight Management of National Oil and Gas Industry Development".ENERGIES 15.2(2022).