Arid
DOI10.3390/tropicalmed7020015
Predictive Risk Mapping of Schistosomiasis in Madagascar Using Ecological Niche Modeling and Precision Mapping
Deka, Mark A.
通讯作者Deka, MA (corresponding author),Ctr Dis Control & Prevent CDC, 4770 Buford Hwy NE, Atlanta, GA 30341 USA.
来源期刊TROPICAL MEDICINE AND INFECTIOUS DISEASE
EISSN2414-6366
出版年2022
卷号7期号:2
英文摘要Schistosomiasis is a neglected tropical disease (NTD) found throughout tropical and subtropical Africa. In Madagascar, the condition is widespread and endemic in 74% of all administrative districts in the country. Despite the significant burden of the disease, high-resolution risk maps have yet to be produced to guide national control programs. This study used an ecological niche modeling (ENM) and precision mapping approach to estimate environmental suitability and disease transmission risk. The results show that suitability for schistosomiasis is widespread and covers 264,781 km(2) (102,232 sq miles). Covariates of significance to the model were the accessibility to cities, distance to water, enhanced vegetation index (EVI), annual mean temperature, land surface temperature (LST), clay content, and annual precipitation. Disease transmission risk is greatest in the central highlands, tropical east coast, arid-southwest, and northwest. An estimated 14.9 million people could be at risk of schistosomiasis; 11.4 million reside in rural areas, while 3.5 million are in urban areas. This study provides valuable insight into the geography of schistosomiasis in Madagascar and its potential risk to human populations. Because of the focal nature of the disease, these maps can inform national surveillance programs while improving understanding of areas in need of medical interventions.
英文关键词disease mapping geographic information science schistosomiasis precision public health ecological niche modeling
类型Article
语种英语
开放获取类型gold, Green Published
收录类别SCI-E
WOS记录号WOS:000762219500001
WOS关键词SPECIES DISTRIBUTION MODELS ; WATER-RESOURCES DEVELOPMENT ; MINAS-GERAIS ; HEALTH-CARE ; GIS ; INFECTIONS ; DISEASE ; AFRICA ; SPREAD ; BRAZIL
WOS类目Infectious Diseases ; Parasitology ; Tropical Medicine
WOS研究方向Infectious Diseases ; Parasitology ; Tropical Medicine
资源类型期刊论文
条目标识符http://119.78.100.177/qdio/handle/2XILL650/376370
作者单位[Deka, Mark A.] Ctr Dis Control & Prevent CDC, 4770 Buford Hwy NE, Atlanta, GA 30341 USA
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Deka, Mark A.. Predictive Risk Mapping of Schistosomiasis in Madagascar Using Ecological Niche Modeling and Precision Mapping[J],2022,7(2).
APA Deka, Mark A..(2022).Predictive Risk Mapping of Schistosomiasis in Madagascar Using Ecological Niche Modeling and Precision Mapping.TROPICAL MEDICINE AND INFECTIOUS DISEASE,7(2).
MLA Deka, Mark A.."Predictive Risk Mapping of Schistosomiasis in Madagascar Using Ecological Niche Modeling and Precision Mapping".TROPICAL MEDICINE AND INFECTIOUS DISEASE 7.2(2022).
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