干旱区生态环境知识资源中心(Arid): IMPACT OF CLIMATE CHANGE AND HUMAN ACTIVITIES ON THE SUSTAINABLE DEVELOPMENT OF XINJIANG AKSU OASIS (CHINA)

Arid

	IMPACT OF CLIMATE CHANGE AND HUMAN ACTIVITIES ON THE SUSTAINABLE DEVELOPMENT OF XINJIANG AKSU OASIS (CHINA)
	Duan Zhengrong; Ni Mingxia; Tao Ya; Sobota, Marcin; Xia Jianxin
通讯作者	Duan, ZR (corresponding author), Minzu Univ China, Dept Environm Sci, Key Lab Ecol & Environm Minor Areas, 27 Zhongguancunsouth St, Beijing 100081, Peoples R China.
来源期刊	ACTA SCIENTIARUM POLONORUM-FORMATIO CIRCUMIECTUS
ISSN	1644-0765
出版年	2021
卷号	20 期号:2 页码:3-18
英文摘要	Aim of the study The aim of this study is to show that the Oasis in Xinjiang, China is facing serious sustainable development challenges due to the climate change and human activities, especially for the drought stress. Material and methods Linear trend method, also known as linear trend forecasting method and linear fitting, is the most studied and popular quantitative forecasting method so far. Based on the time series data during the observation period, it is assumed that the predicted variables have a linear function relationship with time, and is fitted into a straight line, so that the straight line can reflect the changing trend of the variables themselves, namely, a linear regression model. Results and conclusions From 1961 to 2016, the Aksu Oasis climate in general showed a warm and wet trend. From 1991 to 2016, the oasis area continued to expand, and the desert area showed a decreasing trend, and land use changed significantly. The regional water resources have obviously changed, and the average groundwater depth in the oasis area was between 3.55 and 4.35 meters, showing an increasing trend, while the groundwater level was decreasing. Water resources shortage is the most fundamental reason to restrict the expansion of oasis scale. The suitable oasis scale of the Aksu Oasis in 1991, 2001 and 2016 is 12,611.30, 15,949.95 and 16,631.59 km(2), respectively, but the actual area of the oasis in the three periods is larger.
英文关键词	Aksu oasis suitable scale of oasis sustainable development Hydrothermal equilibrium model
类型	Article
语种	英语
收录类别	ESCI
WOS记录号	WOS:000727974200001
WOS关键词	GLACIERS
WOS类目	Agronomy ; Environmental Sciences
WOS研究方向	Agriculture ; Environmental Sciences & Ecology
资源类型	期刊论文
条目标识符	http://119.78.100.177/qdio/handle/2XILL650/374231
作者单位	[Duan Zhengrong; Ni Mingxia; Xia Jianxin] Minzu Univ China, Dept Environm Sci, Key Lab Ecol & Environm Minor Areas, 27 Zhongguancunsouth St, Beijing 100081, Peoples R China; [Tao Ya] Chinese Acad Environm Planning, 8 Dayangfang, Beijing 100012, Peoples R China; [Sobota, Marcin] Wroclaw Univ Environm & Life Sci, Fac Environm Engn & Geodesy, Ul Grunwaldzka 55, PL-50357 Wroclaw, Poland
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714	Duan Zhengrong,Ni Mingxia,Tao Ya,et al. IMPACT OF CLIMATE CHANGE AND HUMAN ACTIVITIES ON THE SUSTAINABLE DEVELOPMENT OF XINJIANG AKSU OASIS (CHINA)[J],2021,20(2):3-18.
APA	Duan Zhengrong,Ni Mingxia,Tao Ya,Sobota, Marcin,&Xia Jianxin.(2021).IMPACT OF CLIMATE CHANGE AND HUMAN ACTIVITIES ON THE SUSTAINABLE DEVELOPMENT OF XINJIANG AKSU OASIS (CHINA).ACTA SCIENTIARUM POLONORUM-FORMATIO CIRCUMIECTUS,20(2),3-18.
MLA	Duan Zhengrong,et al."IMPACT OF CLIMATE CHANGE AND HUMAN ACTIVITIES ON THE SUSTAINABLE DEVELOPMENT OF XINJIANG AKSU OASIS (CHINA)".ACTA SCIENTIARUM POLONORUM-FORMATIO CIRCUMIECTUS 20.2(2021):3-18.