Knowledge Resource Center for Ecological Environment in Arid Area
DOI | 10.1016/j.accre.2021.10.005 |
An extreme rainfall event in summer 2018 of Hami city in eastern Xinjiang, China | |
Zou Shan; Duan Wei-Li; Christidis, Nikolaos; Nover, Daniel; Jilili, Abuduwaili; De Maeyer, Philippe; Van De Voorde, Tim | |
通讯作者 | Duan, WL (corresponding author), Chinese Acad Sci, Xinjiang Inst Ecol & Geog, State Key Lab Desert & Oasis Ecol, Urumqi 830011, Peoples R China. |
来源期刊 | ADVANCES IN CLIMATE CHANGE RESEARCH
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ISSN | 1674-9278 |
出版年 | 2021 |
卷号 | 12期号:6页码:795-803 |
英文摘要 | Extreme rainfall events are rare in inland arid regions, but have exhibited an increasing trend in recent years, causing many casualties and substantial socioeconomic losses. A series of heavy rains that began on July 31st, 2018, battered the Hami prefecture of eastern Xinjiang, China for four days. These rains sparked devastating floods, caused 20 deaths, eight missing, and the evacuation of about 5500 people. This study examines the extreme rainfall event in a historical context and explores the anthropogenic causes based on analysis of multiple datasets (i.e., the observed daily data, the global climate models (GCMs) from the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project Phase 5 (CMIP5), the NCEP/NCAR Reanalysis 1, and the satellite cloud data) and several statistical techniques. Results show that this extraordinarily heavy rainfall was due mainly to the abnormal weather system (e.g., the abnormal subtropical high) that transported abundant water vapor from the Indian Ocean and the East China Sea crossed the high mountains and formed extreme rainfall in Hami prefecture, causing the reservoir to break and form a flood event with treat loss, which is a typical example of a comprehensive analysis of the extreme rainfall event in summer in Northwest China. Also, the fraction of attributable risk (FAR) value was 1.00 when the 2018 July-August RX1day (11.52 mm) was marked as the threshold, supporting the claim of a significant anthropogenic influence on the risk of this extreme rainfall. The results offer insights into the variability of precipitation extremes in arid areas contributing to better manage water-related disasters. |
英文关键词 | Precipitation events Northwest China CMIP5 Fraction of attributable risk Attribution analysis |
类型 | Article |
语种 | 英语 |
开放获取类型 | Green Published, gold |
收录类别 | SCI-E |
WOS记录号 | WOS:000731550400004 |
WOS关键词 | PRECIPITATION EXTREMES ; CLIMATE-CHANGE ; DRY EXTREMES ; RIVER FLOOD ; ATTRIBUTION ; TEMPERATURE ; WEATHER ; TREND ; INDEXES ; REGION |
WOS类目 | Environmental Sciences ; Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences |
WOS研究方向 | Environmental Sciences & Ecology ; Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences |
资源类型 | 期刊论文 |
条目标识符 | http://119.78.100.177/qdio/handle/2XILL650/373966 |
作者单位 | [Zou Shan] Xinjiang Univ, Coll Resource & Environm Sci, Urumqi 830046, Peoples R China; [Zou Shan; Duan Wei-Li; Jilili, Abuduwaili; De Maeyer, Philippe] Chinese Acad Sci, Xinjiang Inst Ecol & Geog, State Key Lab Desert & Oasis Ecol, Urumqi 830011, Peoples R China; [Zou Shan; Duan Wei-Li; Jilili, Abuduwaili] Univ Chinese Acad Sci, Beijing 100049, Peoples R China; [Zou Shan; De Maeyer, Philippe; Van De Voorde, Tim] Univ Ghent, Dept Geog, B-9000 Ghent, Belgium; [Christidis, Nikolaos] Met Off Hadley Ctr, Exeter EX1 3PB, Devon, England; [Nover, Daniel] Univ Calif Merced, Dept Engn, Merced, CA 95343 USA; [Zou Shan; Jilili, Abuduwaili] Chinese Acad Sci, Res Ctr Ecol & Environm Cent Asia, Urumqi 830011, Peoples R China; [Zou Shan; De Maeyer, Philippe; Van De Voorde, Tim] Sino Belgian Joint Lab Geoinformat, B-9000 Ghent, Belgium; [Zou Shan; De Maeyer, Philippe; Van De Voorde, Tim] Sino Belgian Joint Lab Geoinformat, Urumqi 830011, Peoples R China |
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Zou Shan,Duan Wei-Li,Christidis, Nikolaos,et al. An extreme rainfall event in summer 2018 of Hami city in eastern Xinjiang, China[J],2021,12(6):795-803. |
APA | Zou Shan.,Duan Wei-Li.,Christidis, Nikolaos.,Nover, Daniel.,Jilili, Abuduwaili.,...&Van De Voorde, Tim.(2021).An extreme rainfall event in summer 2018 of Hami city in eastern Xinjiang, China.ADVANCES IN CLIMATE CHANGE RESEARCH,12(6),795-803. |
MLA | Zou Shan,et al."An extreme rainfall event in summer 2018 of Hami city in eastern Xinjiang, China".ADVANCES IN CLIMATE CHANGE RESEARCH 12.6(2021):795-803. |
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