干旱区生态环境知识资源中心(Arid): Projection of Agricultural Water Stress for Climate Change Scenarios: A Regional Case Study of Iraq

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DOI	10.3390/agriculture11121288
	Projection of Agricultural Water Stress for Climate Change Scenarios: A Regional Case Study of Iraq
	Salman, Saleem A.; Shahid, Shamsuddin; Sharafati, Ahmad; Salem, Golam Saleh Ahmed; Bakar, Amyrhul Abu; Farooque, Aitazaz Ahsan; Chung, Eun-Sung; Ahmed, Yaseen Adnan; Mikhail, Bryukhov; Yaseen, Zaher Mundher
通讯作者	Yaseen, ZM (corresponding author), South Ural State Univ, Inst Architecture & Construct, Dept Urban Planning Engn Networks & Syst, 76 Lenin Prospect, Chelyabinsk 454080, Russia. ; Yaseen, ZM (corresponding author), Al Ayen Univ, New Era & Dev Civil Engn Res Grp, Sci Res Ctr, Nasiriyah 64001, Iraq.
来源期刊	AGRICULTURE-BASEL
EISSN	2077-0472
出版年	2021
卷号	11 期号:12
英文摘要	Assessment of possible changes in crops water stress due to climate alteration is essential for agricultural planning, particularly in arid regions where water supply is the major challenge for agricultural development. This study aims to project climatic water availability (CWA) and crop water demand (CWD) to outline the possible future agricultural water stress of Iraq for different radiative concentration pathways (RCPs). The ensemble means of downscaled precipitation and temperature projections of the selected global climate models (GCMs) were used in a simple water balance model for this purpose. The modified Mann-Kendall (mMK) trend test was employed to estimate the tendency in CWA and the Wilcoxon rank test to evaluate CWD alteration in three future time horizons compared to the base period (1971-2000). The results revealed a decrease in CWA at a rate of up to -34/year during 2010-2099 for RCP8.5. The largest declination would be in summer (-29/year) and an insignificant decrease in winter (-1.3/year). The study also showed an increase in CWD of all major crops for all scenarios. The highest increase in CWD would be for summer crops, approximately 320 mm, and the lowest for winter crops, nearly 32 mm for RCP8.5 in the far future (2070-2099). The decrease in CWA and increase in CWD would cause a sharp rise in crop water stress in Iraq. This study indicates that the increase in temperature is the main reason for a large increase in CWD and increased agricultural water stress in Iraq.
英文关键词	general circulation models climate change crops water availability trend analysis
类型	Article
语种	英语
开放获取类型	gold
收录类别	SCI-E ; SSCI
WOS记录号	WOS:000735184200001
WOS关键词	ADAPTATION STRATEGIES ; RESOURCES MANAGEMENT ; SEMIARID REGIONS ; ARID REGION ; IRRIGATION ; TEMPERATURE ; AVAILABILITY ; REQUIREMENT ; SELECTION ; RAINFALL
WOS类目	Agronomy
WOS研究方向	Agriculture
资源类型	期刊论文
条目标识符	http://119.78.100.177/qdio/handle/2XILL650/373924
作者单位	[Salman, Saleem A.; Shahid, Shamsuddin; Bakar, Amyrhul Abu] Univ Teknol Malaysia UTM, Fac Engn, Sch Civil Engn, Johor Baharu 81310, Malaysia; [Sharafati, Ahmad] Islamic Azad Univ, Sci & Res Branch, Dept Civil Engn, Tehran, Iran; [Salem, Golam Saleh Ahmed] Trust Univ, Dept Elect & Elect Engn, Nobogram Rd, Barishal 8200, Bangladesh; [Farooque, Aitazaz Ahsan] Univ Prince Edward Isl, Fac Sustainable Design Engn, Charlottetown, PE C1A 4P3, Canada; [Farooque, Aitazaz Ahsan] Univ Prince Edward Isl, Sch Climate Change & Adaptat, Charlottetown, PE C1A 4P3, Canada; [Chung, Eun-Sung] Seoul Natl Univ Sci & Technol, Fac Civil Engn, Seoul 01811, South Korea; [Ahmed, Yaseen Adnan] Univ Teknol Malaysia UTM, Sch Mech Engn, Fac Engn, Johor Baharu 81310, Malaysia; [Mikhail, Bryukhov; Yaseen, Zaher Mundher] South Ural State Univ, Inst Architecture & Construct, Dept Urban Planning Engn Networks & Syst, 76 Lenin Prospect, Chelyabinsk 454080, Russia; [Yaseen, Zaher Mundher] Al Ayen Univ, New Era & Dev Civil Engn Res Grp, Sci Re...
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714	Salman, Saleem A.,Shahid, Shamsuddin,Sharafati, Ahmad,et al. Projection of Agricultural Water Stress for Climate Change Scenarios: A Regional Case Study of Iraq[J],2021,11(12).
APA	Salman, Saleem A..,Shahid, Shamsuddin.,Sharafati, Ahmad.,Salem, Golam Saleh Ahmed.,Bakar, Amyrhul Abu.,...&Yaseen, Zaher Mundher.(2021).Projection of Agricultural Water Stress for Climate Change Scenarios: A Regional Case Study of Iraq.AGRICULTURE-BASEL,11(12).
MLA	Salman, Saleem A.,et al."Projection of Agricultural Water Stress for Climate Change Scenarios: A Regional Case Study of Iraq".AGRICULTURE-BASEL 11.12(2021).