Arid
DOI10.1038/s41598-021-02668-3
Wheat (Triticum aestivum) adaptability evaluation in a semi-arid region of Central Morocco using APSIM model
Briak, Hamza; Kebede, Fassil
通讯作者Briak, H (corresponding author), Mohammed VI Polytech Univ UM6P, Ctr Excellence Soil & Fertilizer Res Africa CESFR, AgroBioSci AgBS, Ben Guerir 43150, Morocco.
来源期刊SCIENTIFIC REPORTS
ISSN2045-2322
出版年2021
卷号11期号:1
英文摘要In this study, we evaluated the suitability of semi-arid region of Central Morocco for wheat production using Agricultural Production Systems sIMulator (APSIM) considering weather, soil properties and crop management production factors. Model calibration was carried out using data collected from field trials. A quantitative statistics, i.e., root mean square error (RMSE), Nash-Sutcliffe efficiency (NSE), and index of agreement (d) were used in model performance evaluation. Furthermore, series of simulations were performed to simulate the future scenarios of wheat productivity based on climate projection; the optimum sowing date under water deficit condition and selection of appropriate wheat varieties. The study showed that the performance of the model was fairly accurate as judged by having RMSE = 0.13, NSE = 0.95, and d = 0.98. The realization of future climate data projection and their integration into the APSIM model allowed us to obtain future scenarios of wheat yield that vary between 0 and 2.33 t/ha throughout the study period. The simulated result confirmed that the yield obtained from plots seeded between 25 October and 25 November was higher than that of sown until 05 January. From the several varieties tested, Hartog, Sunstate, Wollaroi, Batten and Sapphire were yielded comparatively higher than the locale variety Marzak. In conclusion, APSIM-Wheat model could be used as a promising tool to identify the best management practices such as determining the sowing date and selection of crop variety based on the length of the crop cycle for adapting and mitigating climate change.
类型Article
语种英语
开放获取类型Green Published, gold
收录类别SCI-E
WOS记录号WOS:000724479000028
WOS关键词CLIMATE-CHANGE IMPACT ; USE EFFICIENCY ; WINTER-WHEAT ; SOIL-WATER ; CROPPING SYSTEMS ; CORDEX-AFRICA ; SOWING TIME ; YIELD ; MAIZE ; NITROGEN
WOS类目Multidisciplinary Sciences
WOS研究方向Science & Technology - Other Topics
资源类型期刊论文
条目标识符http://119.78.100.177/qdio/handle/2XILL650/373905
作者单位[Briak, Hamza; Kebede, Fassil] Mohammed VI Polytech Univ UM6P, Ctr Excellence Soil & Fertilizer Res Africa CESFR, AgroBioSci AgBS, Ben Guerir 43150, Morocco
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Briak, Hamza,Kebede, Fassil. Wheat (Triticum aestivum) adaptability evaluation in a semi-arid region of Central Morocco using APSIM model[J],2021,11(1).
APA Briak, Hamza,&Kebede, Fassil.(2021).Wheat (Triticum aestivum) adaptability evaluation in a semi-arid region of Central Morocco using APSIM model.SCIENTIFIC REPORTS,11(1).
MLA Briak, Hamza,et al."Wheat (Triticum aestivum) adaptability evaluation in a semi-arid region of Central Morocco using APSIM model".SCIENTIFIC REPORTS 11.1(2021).
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