Arid
DOI10.1016/j.pce.2019.03.005
Precipitation variations and shifts over time: Implication on Windhoek city water supply
Shikangalah, Rosemary N.; Mapani, Benjamin
通讯作者Shikangalah, RN (corresponding author), Univ Namibia, Fac Humanities & Social Sci, Dept Geog, Private Bag 13301, Windhoek, Namibia.
会议名称18th WaterNet/WARFSA/GWPSA Symposium on Integrated Water Resources Development and Management - Innovative Technological Advances for Water Security in Eastern and Southern Africa
会议日期OCT 25-27, 2017
会议地点Swakopmund, NAMIBIA
英文摘要The scarcity of freshwater is a growing concern around the world, especially in the developing world and is increasingly threatening human survival in less affluent parts of the world. In arid and semiarid regions, freshwater resources are imperative for the survival of populations as well as development activities in urban centres. Preceding assessments for potential solutions have underestimated the scarcity of water by failing to capture main trends of precipitation and the extent of drought periods. This paper aims to investigate rainfall trends for the City of Windhoek, Namibia. A century scale is examined by reconstructing historical precipitation records, and future trends are subsequently estimated and interpolated using Ordinary Kriging in ArcGIS 10.3. Kriging responds and handles spatial correlation much better for observed data points. The results show locations that receive high rainfall and potential periods for harvesting rainwater. The findings further show that the periods of high rainfall are shorter, and after each high rainfall stretch, a long period of lower rainfall follows immediately. Each low rainfall period is anticipated to last longer than the previous one. These scenarios are highly significant for urban managers in dryland cities such as Windhoek, as they demonstrate when water would need to be extra sparingly managed. This study highlights the need for better water management strategies, if cities in dry climates are to survive the anticipated future water crises.
英文关键词Precipitation trends Urban water shortage Water supply Water management
来源出版物PHYSICS AND CHEMISTRY OF THE EARTH
ISSN1474-7065
EISSN1873-5193
出版年2019
卷号112
页码103-112
出版者PERGAMON-ELSEVIER SCIENCE LTD
类型Article; Proceedings Paper
语种英语
收录类别CPCI-S
WOS记录号WOS:000491169000013
WOS关键词CLIMATE-CHANGE ; SOUTHERN AFRICA ; SPATIAL INTERPOLATION ; RAINFALL VARIABILITY ; NORTHERN ; 20TH-CENTURY ; MANAGEMENT ; SCARCITY ; DROUGHTS ; LESSONS
WOS类目Geosciences, Multidisciplinary ; Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences ; Water Resources
WOS研究方向Geology ; Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences ; Water Resources
资源类型会议论文
条目标识符http://119.78.100.177/qdio/handle/2XILL650/369964
作者单位[Shikangalah, Rosemary N.] Univ Namibia, Fac Humanities & Social Sci, Dept Geog, Private Bag 13301, Windhoek, Namibia; [Mapani, Benjamin] Univ Namibia, Fac Sci, Dept Geol, Private Bag 13301, Windhoek, Namibia
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Shikangalah, Rosemary N.,Mapani, Benjamin. Precipitation variations and shifts over time: Implication on Windhoek city water supply[C]:PERGAMON-ELSEVIER SCIENCE LTD,2019:103-112.
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