干旱区生态环境知识资源中心(Arid): Contrasting effects of climate change on the European and global potential distributions of two Mediterranean helicoid terrestrial gastropods

Arid

DOI	10.1007/s10113-019-01573-w
	Contrasting effects of climate change on the European and global potential distributions of two Mediterranean helicoid terrestrial gastropods
	Prockow, Malgorzata; Konowalik, Kamil; Prockow, Jaroslaw
通讯作者	Prockow, M (corresponding author), Univ Wroclaw, Museum Nat Hist, Sienkiewicza 21, PL-50-335 Wroclaw, Poland.
来源期刊	REGIONAL ENVIRONMENTAL CHANGE
ISSN	1436-3798
EISSN	1436-378X
出版年	2019
卷号	19 期号:8 页码:2637-2650
英文摘要	Predicting the impacts of global climate change on the current and future distribution of alien or endangered species is an essential subject in macroecological studies. Although several investigations have been devoted to animal and plant species, few have addressed terrestrial gastropods. We employed spatial distribution modelling to construct European and global potential distribution ranges of two land snails (Cernuella virgata and Hygromia cinctella) using current and future climate scenarios. Both species have been continuously spreading northward from the Mediterranean region, also being introduced to a few areas outside Europe. We found that under the current climate scenario, most presently occupied areas in Europe are also at high probability of future occurrence of these species. However, under four future climatic conditions, these snails will undergo contrasting scenarios. C. virgata will have a large potential gain, likely due to rising temperatures and its weak fluctuations. In this species, global warming increases in potential area size, accompanied by its morphological and physiological adaptations to arid conditions and the ability to passively disperse, are likely to facilitate invasion into new regions of the world. In contrast, there is no significant change in the geographical distribution of colonisation-prone areas for H. cinctella. Our results demonstrate that wetter climatic conditions in the driest season and greater temperature variability will be key limiting factors of its distribution in the future. An understanding of colonisation patterns can help to better manage these invaders and also to formulate policies for their control.
英文关键词	Bioclimatic variables Emission scenario Potential distribution Range shift Suitable area Invasive species
类型	Article
语种	英语
开放获取类型	hybrid
收录类别	SCI-E ; SSCI
WOS记录号	WOS:000511753200038
WOS关键词	HYGROMIA-CINCTELLA DRAPARNAUD ; CERNUELLA-VIRGATA ; LAND SNAILS ; POPULATION-DYNAMICS ; INFECTION ; MOLLUSCA ; PASTURE ; SPREAD ; CONSEQUENCES ; ROTATIONS
WOS类目	Environmental Sciences ; Environmental Studies
WOS研究方向	Environmental Sciences & Ecology
资源类型	期刊论文
条目标识符	http://119.78.100.177/qdio/handle/2XILL650/369685
作者单位	[Prockow, Malgorzata] Univ Wroclaw, Museum Nat Hist, Sienkiewicza 21, PL-50-335 Wroclaw, Poland; [Konowalik, Kamil; Prockow, Jaroslaw] Wroclaw Univ Environm, Inst Biol, Dept Plant Biol, Life Sciences, Ko() dotuchowska 5b, PL-51-631 Wroclaw, Poland
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714	Prockow, Malgorzata,Konowalik, Kamil,Prockow, Jaroslaw. Contrasting effects of climate change on the European and global potential distributions of two Mediterranean helicoid terrestrial gastropods[J],2019,19(8):2637-2650.
APA	Prockow, Malgorzata,Konowalik, Kamil,&Prockow, Jaroslaw.(2019).Contrasting effects of climate change on the European and global potential distributions of two Mediterranean helicoid terrestrial gastropods.REGIONAL ENVIRONMENTAL CHANGE,19(8),2637-2650.
MLA	Prockow, Malgorzata,et al."Contrasting effects of climate change on the European and global potential distributions of two Mediterranean helicoid terrestrial gastropods".REGIONAL ENVIRONMENTAL CHANGE 19.8(2019):2637-2650.