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DOI10.3389/feart.2020.563122
Stochastic Simulation of the Spatial Heterogeneity of Deltaic Hydrofacies Accounting for the Uncertainty of Facies Proportions
Jorreto-Zaguirre, S.; Dowd, P. A.; Pardo-Iguzquiza, E.; Pulido-Bosch, A.; Sanchez-Martos, F.
通讯作者Dowd, PA (corresponding author), Univ Adelaide, Fac Engn Comp & Math Sci, Adelaide, SA, Australia.
来源期刊FRONTIERS IN EARTH SCIENCE
EISSN2296-6463
出版年2020
卷号8
英文摘要The spatial geological heterogeneity of an aquifer significantly affects storage, flow and the transport of solutes. In the particular case of coastal aquifers, spatial geological heterogeneity is also a major determining factor of the spatio-temporal patterns of water quality (salinity) due to seawater intrusion. While the hydraulics of coastal hydrogeology can be modeled effectively by various density flow equations, the aquifer geology is highly uncertain. A stochastic solution to the problem is to generate numerical realisations of the geology using sequential stratigraphy, geophysical models or geostatistical approaches. The geostatistical methods (two-point geostatistics, Markov chain models and multiple-point geostatistics) have the advantage of minimal data requirements, e.g., when the only data available are from cores from a few sparsely located boreholes. We provide an extension of sequential indicator simulation by including the uncertainty of the hydrofacies proportions in the simulation approach. We also deal with the problem of variogram estimation from sparse boreholes and we discuss the implicit transition probabilities and the connectivity of simulated realisations of a number of categorical variables. The variogram model used in the simulation of hydrofacies significantly influences the degree of connectivity of the hydrofacies in the simulated model. The choice of model is critical as connectivity determines the amount and extent of seawater intrusion and hence the environmental risk. The methodology is illustrated with a case study of the Andarax river delta, a coastal aquifer in south-eastern Spain. This is a semi-arid Mediterranean region in which the increasing use of, and demand for, groundwater is exacerbated by a transient tourist population that reaches its peak in the summer when the demand for the permanent population is at its highest. The work reported here provides a sound basis for designing flow simulation models for the optimal management of groundwater resources. This paper is an extended version of a presentation given at the 2012 GeoENV Conference held in Valencia, Spain.
英文关键词stochastic simulation spatial hetereogeneity hydrofacies uncertainty connectivity sequential indicator simulation
类型Article
语种英语
开放获取类型gold, Green Published
收录类别SCI-E
WOS记录号WOS:000608692500001
WOS关键词COMPUTER-PROGRAM
WOS类目Geosciences, Multidisciplinary
WOS研究方向Geology
资源类型期刊论文
条目标识符http://119.78.100.177/qdio/handle/2XILL650/369173
作者单位[Jorreto-Zaguirre, S.; Pulido-Bosch, A.; Sanchez-Martos, F.] Univ Almeria, Dept Biol & Geol, Water Resources & Environm Geol Res Grp, Almeria, Spain; [Dowd, P. A.] Univ Adelaide, Fac Engn Comp & Math Sci, Adelaide, SA, Australia; [Pardo-Iguzquiza, E.] Inst Geol & Minero Espana IGME, Madrid, Spain
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Jorreto-Zaguirre, S.,Dowd, P. A.,Pardo-Iguzquiza, E.,et al. Stochastic Simulation of the Spatial Heterogeneity of Deltaic Hydrofacies Accounting for the Uncertainty of Facies Proportions[J],2020,8.
APA Jorreto-Zaguirre, S.,Dowd, P. A.,Pardo-Iguzquiza, E.,Pulido-Bosch, A.,&Sanchez-Martos, F..(2020).Stochastic Simulation of the Spatial Heterogeneity of Deltaic Hydrofacies Accounting for the Uncertainty of Facies Proportions.FRONTIERS IN EARTH SCIENCE,8.
MLA Jorreto-Zaguirre, S.,et al."Stochastic Simulation of the Spatial Heterogeneity of Deltaic Hydrofacies Accounting for the Uncertainty of Facies Proportions".FRONTIERS IN EARTH SCIENCE 8(2020).
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