干旱区生态环境知识资源中心(Arid): Impacts of Climate Change on Hydroclimatic Conditions of US National Forests and Grasslands

Arid

DOI	10.3390/f12020139
	Impacts of Climate Change on Hydroclimatic Conditions of US National Forests and Grasslands
	Heidari, Hadi; Warziniack, Travis; Brown, Thomas C.; Arabi, Mazdak
通讯作者	Heidari, H (corresponding author), Colorado State Univ, Dept Civil & Environm Engn, 1372 Campus Delivery, Ft Collins, CO 80523 USA.
来源期刊	FORESTS
EISSN	1999-4907
出版年	2021
卷号	12 期号:2
英文摘要	The conterminous United States includes national forests and grasslands that provide ecological, social, economic, recreational, and aesthetic services. Future climate change can alter long-term hydroclimatic conditions of national forests and grasslands and lead to negative consequences. This study characterizes shifts in hydroclimatology and basin characteristics of US National Forests (NFs) and National Grasslands (NGs) in response to climate change over the 21st century under the DRY, MIDDLE, and WET climate models with the representative concentration pathway (RCP) 8.5 emission scenario. Climatic projections for three climate models ranging from the driest to wettest conditions were obtained from the Multivariate Adaptive Constructed Analogs (MACA) dataset. Then, the variable infiltration capacity (VIC) model was used to model hydrological responses of the selected future climates. Changes in regional hydroclimatic conditions of NFs and NGs were assessed by the magnitude and direction of movements in the Budyko space. The Fu's equation was applied to estimate changes in basin characteristics. The results indicate that NFs and NGs are likely to experience larger changes in basin characteristics compared to the average of the United States. In general, across the conterminous US, the NFs in mountainous regions are likely to have larger changes in hydroclimatic variables than NFs with lower elevation and NGs. Comparing Forest Service regions, Pacific Northwest, Intermountain, and Northern regions may have a less arid climate with lower freshwater availability. The Southwestern, Northern, Intermountain, and Rocky Mountain regions are likely to experience higher shifts in their basin characteristics. This study can help environmental scientists, and land and water managers improve future land management plans.
英文关键词	national forests national grasslands hydroclimatic conditions climate change budyko framework VIC model
类型	Article
语种	英语
开放获取类型	gold
收录类别	SCI-E
WOS记录号	WOS:000622538700001
WOS关键词	UNITED-STATES ; LARGE-SCALE ; VARIABILITY ; STREAMFLOW ; MODEL ; ENSEMBLE ; WATER
WOS类目	Forestry
WOS研究方向	Forestry
来源机构	Colorado State University ; E18
资源类型	期刊论文
条目标识符	http://119.78.100.177/qdio/handle/2XILL650/369030
作者单位	[Heidari, Hadi; Arabi, Mazdak] Colorado State Univ, Dept Civil & Environm Engn, 1372 Campus Delivery, Ft Collins, CO 80523 USA; [Warziniack, Travis; Brown, Thomas C.] US Forest Serv, Rocky Mt Res Stn, Ft Collins, CO 80526 USA
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714	Heidari, Hadi,Warziniack, Travis,Brown, Thomas C.,et al. Impacts of Climate Change on Hydroclimatic Conditions of US National Forests and Grasslands[J]. Colorado State University, E18,2021,12(2).
APA	Heidari, Hadi,Warziniack, Travis,Brown, Thomas C.,&Arabi, Mazdak.(2021).Impacts of Climate Change on Hydroclimatic Conditions of US National Forests and Grasslands.FORESTS,12(2).
MLA	Heidari, Hadi,et al."Impacts of Climate Change on Hydroclimatic Conditions of US National Forests and Grasslands".FORESTS 12.2(2021).