干旱区生态环境知识资源中心(Arid): What if the rains do not come?

Arid

DOI	10.1016/j.jhydrol.2021.126040
	What if the rains do not come?
	Ndehedehe, Christopher E.; Ferreira, Vagner G.; Agutu, Nathan O.; Onojeghuo, Alex O.; Okwuashi, Onuwa; Kassahun, Habtamu Tilahun; Dewan, Ashraf
通讯作者	Ndehedehe, CE (corresponding author), Griffith Univ, Australian Rivers Inst, Nathan, Qld 4111, Australia.
来源期刊	JOURNAL OF HYDROLOGY
ISSN	0022-1694
EISSN	1879-2707
出版年	2021
卷号	595
英文摘要	Risk-management solutions that increase opportunities for adaptation plans and resilience to climate change require an understanding of climate change processes and the trickle down effects of droughts and floods on hydrological and socio-economic systems. To guide future expectations about droughts, this study aims to assess large-scale variability of hydrological stores (groundwater, soil moisture, and surface water) and their responses to drought intensities over large semi-arid domains in Australia. Multi-scaled indicators synthesised from in-situ rainfall (SPI-standardised precipitation index), water budget (SPEI-standardised evapotranspiration precipitation index), model (soil moisture-SM), and satellite observations (groundwater storage-GWS, surface water extent-SWE, and terrestrial water storage-TWS) are employed to assess this variability in climatic hotspots identified through statistical rotation. The link between these hotspots and climate modes are diagnosed using gaussian kernel-based SVMR (support vector machine regression), and quantile function of storage (QFS) is used to assess the response of hydrological stores to climate variability. The capability of these indicators to capture impacts of water deficit on agricultural systems is explored by implementing a PLSR (partial least square regression). Results show that (i) drought characteristics and intensities vary greatly across Australia but hotspots of higher drought duration and intensity are predominant in regions below latitude 25 degrees S, (ii) hydrological drought indicators (SPEI/SPI-12) are better predictors of hydrological stores such as TWS and GWS, though the latter shows strong but opposite phase relationship with climate data, (iii) influence of climate teleconnections is better diagnosed and predicted with SPEI/SPI-12, and the Murray Darling basin-MDB (r = 0.84, alpha = 0.05) and central/east coast (r = 0.80, 0.79, alpha = 0.05) are major teleconnection hotspots, (iv) SM and GWS losses in the MDB occurred 60% and about 44% of the time, respectively, during the 2002 2017 period, (v) extreme events (droughts and floods) affect the distribution of SWE, and (vi) meteorological drought indicators (SPEI/SPI-3) are excellent metrics that capture variability in crop production. Choosing appropriate indicators that reflect the response of freshwater ecosystems (including groundwater) to climatic and anthropogenic constraints is part of a key process to guide investments in drought resilience and sustainable management of water resources.
英文关键词	Climate variability Australia Hydrology Climate change Groundwater Droughts
类型	Article
语种	英语
收录类别	SCI-E
WOS记录号	WOS:000641592600074
WOS关键词	TERRESTRIAL WATER STORAGE ; CLIMATE-CHANGE ; DROUGHT CHARACTERIZATION ; AGRICULTURAL DROUGHT ; HYDROLOGICAL CHANGES ; GRACE ; GROUNDWATER ; SURFACE ; REGRESSION ; AUSTRALIA
WOS类目	Engineering, Civil ; Geosciences, Multidisciplinary ; Water Resources
WOS研究方向	Engineering ; Geology ; Water Resources
来源机构	河海大学
资源类型	期刊论文
条目标识符	http://119.78.100.177/qdio/handle/2XILL650/368873
作者单位	[Ndehedehe, Christopher E.; Kassahun, Habtamu Tilahun] Griffith Univ, Australian Rivers Inst, Nathan, Qld 4111, Australia; [Ndehedehe, Christopher E.] Griffith Univ, Griffith Sch Environm & Sci, Nathan, Qld 4111, Australia; [Ferreira, Vagner G.] Hohai Univ, Sch Earth Sci & Engn, Nanjing, Peoples R China; [Agutu, Nathan O.] Dept Geomat Engn & Geospatial Informat Syst JKUAT, Nairobi, Kenya; [Onojeghuo, Alex O.] JOLEXY Environm Serv Ltd, Edmonton, AB, Canada; [Okwuashi, Onuwa] Univ Uyo, Dept Geoinfommt & Surveying, PMB 1017, Uyo, Nigeria; [Dewan, Ashraf] Curtin Univ, Sch Earth & Planetary Sci, Spatial Sci Discipline, Perth, WA, Australia
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714	Ndehedehe, Christopher E.,Ferreira, Vagner G.,Agutu, Nathan O.,et al. What if the rains do not come?[J]. 河海大学,2021,595.
APA	Ndehedehe, Christopher E..,Ferreira, Vagner G..,Agutu, Nathan O..,Onojeghuo, Alex O..,Okwuashi, Onuwa.,...&Dewan, Ashraf.(2021).What if the rains do not come?.JOURNAL OF HYDROLOGY,595.
MLA	Ndehedehe, Christopher E.,et al."What if the rains do not come?".JOURNAL OF HYDROLOGY 595(2021).