Knowledge Resource Center for Ecological Environment in Arid Area
DOI | 10.1088/2515-7620/ac0617 |
Shifts in hydroclimatology of US megaregions in response to climate change | |
Heidari, Hadi; Arabi, Mazdak; Warziniack, Travis; Kao, Shih-Chieh | |
通讯作者 | Heidari, H (corresponding author), Colorado State Univ, Dept Civil & Environm Engn, Ft Collins, CO 80523 USA. |
来源期刊 | ENVIRONMENTAL RESEARCH COMMUNICATIONS
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ISSN | 2515-7620 |
出版年 | 2021 |
卷号 | 3期号:6 |
英文摘要 | Most of the population and economic growth in the United States occurs in megaregions as the clustered metropolitan areas, whereas climate change may amplify negative impacts on water and natural resources. This study assesses shifts in regional hydroclimatology of fourteen US megaregions in response to climate change over the 21st century. Hydroclimatic projections were simulated using the Variable Infiltration Capacity (VIC) model driven by three downscaled climate models from the Multivariate Adaptive Constructed Analogs (MACA) dataset to cover driest to wettest future conditions in the conterminous United States (CONUS). Shifts in the regional hydroclimatolgy and basin characteristics of US megaregions were represented as a combination of changes in the aridity and evaporative indices using the Budyko framework and Fu's equation. Changes in the climate types of US megaregions were estimated using the Fine Gaussian Support Vector Machine (SVM) method. The results indicate that Los Angeles, San Diego, and San Francisco are more likely to experience less arid conditions with some shifts from Continental to Temperate climate type while the hydroclimatology of Houston may become drier with some shifts from Temperate to Continental climate type. Additionally, water yield is likely to decrease in Seattle. Change in the hydroclimatology of Denver and Phoenix highly depends on the selected climate model. However, the basin characteristics of Phoenix have the highest sensitivity to climate change. Overall, the hydroclimatic conditions of Los Angeles, San Diego, Phoenix, Denver, and Houston have the highest sensitivity to climate change. Understanding of future shifts in hydroclimatology of megaregions can help decision-makers to attenuate negative consequences by implementing appropriate adaptation strategies, particularly in the water-scare megaregions. |
英文关键词 | hydroclimatology Megaregions climate change Budyko framework |
类型 | Article |
语种 | 英语 |
开放获取类型 | Green Submitted, gold |
收录类别 | SCI-E |
WOS记录号 | WOS:000658484800001 |
WOS关键词 | SURFACE-WATER ; LARGE-SCALE ; VARIABILITY ; STREAMFLOW ; BALANCE ; GROWTH ; MODEL ; CLASSIFICATION ; ADAPTATION ; IMPACT |
WOS类目 | Environmental Sciences |
WOS研究方向 | Environmental Sciences & Ecology |
来源机构 | Colorado State University ; E18 |
资源类型 | 期刊论文 |
条目标识符 | http://119.78.100.177/qdio/handle/2XILL650/368739 |
作者单位 | [Heidari, Hadi; Arabi, Mazdak] Colorado State Univ, Dept Civil & Environm Engn, Ft Collins, CO 80523 USA; [Warziniack, Travis] US Forest Serv, Rocky Mt Res Stn, Ft Collins, CO USA; [Kao, Shih-Chieh] Oak Ridge Natl Lab, Environm Sci Div, Oak Ridge, TN USA; [Kao, Shih-Chieh] Oak Ridge Natl Lab, Climate Change Sci Inst, Oak Ridge, TN USA |
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Heidari, Hadi,Arabi, Mazdak,Warziniack, Travis,et al. Shifts in hydroclimatology of US megaregions in response to climate change[J]. Colorado State University, E18,2021,3(6). |
APA | Heidari, Hadi,Arabi, Mazdak,Warziniack, Travis,&Kao, Shih-Chieh.(2021).Shifts in hydroclimatology of US megaregions in response to climate change.ENVIRONMENTAL RESEARCH COMMUNICATIONS,3(6). |
MLA | Heidari, Hadi,et al."Shifts in hydroclimatology of US megaregions in response to climate change".ENVIRONMENTAL RESEARCH COMMUNICATIONS 3.6(2021). |
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