干旱区生态环境知识资源中心(Arid): Assessment of Streamflow from EURO-CORDEX Regional Climate Simulations in Semi-Arid Catchments Using the SWAT Model

Arid

DOI	10.3390/su13137120
	Assessment of Streamflow from EURO-CORDEX Regional Climate Simulations in Semi-Arid Catchments Using the SWAT Model
	Martinez-Salvador, Alberto; Millares, Agustin; Eekhout, Joris P. C.; Conesa-Garcia, Carmelo
通讯作者	Conesa-Garcia, C (corresponding author), Univ Murcia, Dept Geog, Murcia 30001, Spain.
来源期刊	SUSTAINABILITY
EISSN	2071-1050
出版年	2021
卷号	13 期号:13
英文摘要	This research studies the effect of climate change on the hydrological behavior of two semi-arid basins. For this purpose, the Soil and Water Assessment Tool (SWAT) model was used with the simulation of two future climate change scenarios, one Representative Concentration Pathway moderate (RCP 4.5) and the other extreme (RCP 8.5). Three future periods were considered: close (2019-2040), medium (2041-2070), and distant (2071-2100). In addition, several climatic projections of the EURO-CORDEX model were selected, to which different bias correction methods were applied before incorporation into the SWAT model. The statistical indices for the monthly flow simulations showed a very good fit in the calibration and validation phases in the Upper Mula stream (NS = 0.79-0.87; PBIAS = -4.00-0.70%; RSR = 0.44-0.46) and the ephemeral Algeciras stream (NS = 0.78-0.82; PBIAS = -8.10--8.20%; RSR = 0.4-0.42). Subsequently, the impact of climate change in both basins was evaluated by comparing future flows with those of the historical period. In the RCP 4.5 and RCP 8.5 scenarios, by the end of the 2071-2100 period, the flows of the Upper Mula stream and the ephemeral Algeciras stream will have decreased by between 46.3% and 52.4% and between 46.6% and 55.8%, respectively.
英文关键词	climate change SWAT model EURO-CORDEX bias correction methods Segura basin ephemeral streams
类型	Article
语种	英语
开放获取类型	Green Published, gold
收录类别	SCI-E ; SSCI
WOS记录号	WOS:000670938400001
WOS关键词	LAND-USE ; BIAS CORRECTION ; CHANGE IMPACT ; WATER-RESOURCES ; SENSITIVITY ; RESOLUTION ; BASIN ; FLOW
WOS类目	Green & Sustainable Science & Technology ; Environmental Sciences ; Environmental Studies
WOS研究方向	Science & Technology - Other Topics ; Environmental Sciences & Ecology
资源类型	期刊论文
条目标识符	http://119.78.100.177/qdio/handle/2XILL650/368649
作者单位	[Martinez-Salvador, Alberto; Conesa-Garcia, Carmelo] Univ Murcia, Dept Geog, Murcia 30001, Spain; [Millares, Agustin] Univ Granada, Andalusian Inst Earth Syst Res IISTA, Grp Environm Fluid Dynam, Granada 18006, Spain; [Eekhout, Joris P. C.] Spanish Res Council CSIC, Soil & Water Conservat Res Grp, Ctr Edafol & Biol Aplicada Segura CEBAS, Murcia 30100, Spain
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714	Martinez-Salvador, Alberto,Millares, Agustin,Eekhout, Joris P. C.,et al. Assessment of Streamflow from EURO-CORDEX Regional Climate Simulations in Semi-Arid Catchments Using the SWAT Model[J],2021,13(13).
APA	Martinez-Salvador, Alberto,Millares, Agustin,Eekhout, Joris P. C.,&Conesa-Garcia, Carmelo.(2021).Assessment of Streamflow from EURO-CORDEX Regional Climate Simulations in Semi-Arid Catchments Using the SWAT Model.SUSTAINABILITY,13(13).
MLA	Martinez-Salvador, Alberto,et al."Assessment of Streamflow from EURO-CORDEX Regional Climate Simulations in Semi-Arid Catchments Using the SWAT Model".SUSTAINABILITY 13.13(2021).