干旱区生态环境知识资源中心(Arid): Projected Meteorological Drought over Asian Drylands under Different CMIP6 Scenarios

Arid

DOI	10.3390/rs13214409
	Projected Meteorological Drought over Asian Drylands under Different CMIP6 Scenarios
	Li, Hongwei; Li, Zhi; Chen, Yaning; Liu, Yongchang; Hu, Yanan; Sun, Fan; Kayumba, Patient Mindje
通讯作者	Li, Z (corresponding author), Chinese Acad Sci, Xinjiang Inst Ecol & Geog, State Key Lab Desert & Oasis Ecol, Urumqi 830011, Peoples R China.
来源期刊	REMOTE SENSING
EISSN	2072-4292
出版年	2021
卷号	13 期号:21
英文摘要	Asia currently has the world's largest arid and semi-arid zones, so a timely assessment of future droughts in the Asian drylands is prudent, particularly in the context of recent frequent sandstorms. This paper assesses the duration, frequency, and intensity of drought events in the Asian drylands based on nine climate models of the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project Phase 6 (CMIP6). The results show that a high percentage of land area is experiencing significant drought intensification of 65.1%, 89.9%, and 99.8% under Shared Socioeconomic Pathways (SSP)126, SSP245, and SSP585 scenarios, respectively. Furthermore, the data indicate that future droughts will become less frequent but longer in duration and more intense, with even more severe future droughts predicted for northwest China and western parts of Uzbekistan and Kazakhstan. Drought durations of 10.8 months and 13.4 months are anticipated for the future periods of 2021-2060 and 2061-2100, respectively, compared to the duration of 6.6 months for the historical period (1960-2000). Meanwhile, drought intensity is expected to reach 0.97 and 1.37, respectively, for future events compared to 1.66 for the historical period. However, drought severity under SSP245 will be weaker than that under SSP126 due to the mitigating effect of precipitation. The results of this study can provide a basis for the development of adaptation measures in Asian dryland nations.
英文关键词	CMIP6 SSPs Asia drylands drought
类型	Article
语种	英语
开放获取类型	gold
收录类别	SCI-E
WOS记录号	WOS:000718641100001
WOS关键词	CLIMATE-CHANGE ; VEGETATION DYNAMICS ; PRECIPITATION ; EVAPORATION ; IMPACTS
WOS类目	Environmental Sciences ; Geosciences, Multidisciplinary ; Remote Sensing ; Imaging Science & Photographic Technology
WOS研究方向	Environmental Sciences & Ecology ; Geology ; Remote Sensing ; Imaging Science & Photographic Technology
来源机构	中国科学院新疆生态与地理研究所
资源类型	期刊论文
条目标识符	http://119.78.100.177/qdio/handle/2XILL650/368196
作者单位	[Li, Hongwei; Li, Zhi; Chen, Yaning; Liu, Yongchang; Hu, Yanan; Sun, Fan; Kayumba, Patient Mindje] Chinese Acad Sci, Xinjiang Inst Ecol & Geog, State Key Lab Desert & Oasis Ecol, Urumqi 830011, Peoples R China; [Li, Hongwei; Liu, Yongchang; Hu, Yanan; Sun, Fan; Kayumba, Patient Mindje] Univ Chinese Acad Sci, Coll Resources & Environm, Beijing 100049, Peoples R China
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714	Li, Hongwei,Li, Zhi,Chen, Yaning,et al. Projected Meteorological Drought over Asian Drylands under Different CMIP6 Scenarios[J]. 中国科学院新疆生态与地理研究所,2021,13(21).
APA	Li, Hongwei.,Li, Zhi.,Chen, Yaning.,Liu, Yongchang.,Hu, Yanan.,...&Kayumba, Patient Mindje.(2021).Projected Meteorological Drought over Asian Drylands under Different CMIP6 Scenarios.REMOTE SENSING,13(21).
MLA	Li, Hongwei,et al."Projected Meteorological Drought over Asian Drylands under Different CMIP6 Scenarios".REMOTE SENSING 13.21(2021).