Arid
DOI10.1016/j.jhydrol.2021.127081
A process-based flood frequency analysis within a trivariate statistical framework. Application to a semi-arid Mediterranean case study
Salazar-Galan, Sergio; Garcia-Bartual, Rafael; Salinas, Jose Luis; Frances, Felix
通讯作者Salazar-Galan, S ; Frances, F (corresponding author), Univ Politecn Valencia, Res Inst Water & Environm Engn, Camino Vera S-N, Valencia 46022, Spain.
来源期刊JOURNAL OF HYDROLOGY
ISSN0022-1694
EISSN1879-2707
出版年2021
卷号603
英文摘要This paper proposes a trivariate methodology for flood frequency estimation. It combines the flood peak, storm magnitude, and initial soil moisture condition (ISMC) as the main flood-related statistical variables to be considered. The semi-arid Mediterranean Rambla del Poyo catchment has been used as a representative case study where the influence of the spatio-temporal variability of the storms and the ISMC on floods can lead to differences of up to two orders of magnitude in quantiles when the most commonly used methods are applied. In order to incorporate the main flood-generating mechanisms, the integrated use of a multidimensional storm generator with distributed hydrological modelling is proposed. Flood quantiles are then estimated by combining the maximum flows with the storm magnitude and ISMC in a trivariate probability distribution function through the application of Bayes' theorem and Lagrange's Mean Value theorem. Although the methodology proposed in this paper has been applied and tested in only one case study, it can be extended to other case studies due to its process-based orientation.
英文关键词Flood frequency Trivariate distribution function Flood-generating processes Flash floods Storm generator Distributed hydrological model
类型Article
语种英语
开放获取类型hybrid
收录类别SCI-E
WOS记录号WOS:000715326800018
WOS关键词SPACE-TIME RAINFALL ; FLASH-FLOOD ; UNGAUGED BASINS ; VALENCIA REGION ; POINT PROCESS ; MODEL ; EVENTS ; PREDICTIONS ; SIMULATION ; CATCHMENTS
WOS类目Engineering, Civil ; Geosciences, Multidisciplinary ; Water Resources
WOS研究方向Engineering ; Geology ; Water Resources
资源类型期刊论文
条目标识符http://119.78.100.177/qdio/handle/2XILL650/368126
作者单位[Salazar-Galan, Sergio; Garcia-Bartual, Rafael; Frances, Felix] Univ Politecn Valencia, Res Inst Water & Environm Engn, Camino Vera S-N, Valencia 46022, Spain; [Salinas, Jose Luis] Risk Management Solut Ltd, Minster Bldg,21 Mincing Lane, London EC3R 7AG, England
推荐引用方式
GB/T 7714
Salazar-Galan, Sergio,Garcia-Bartual, Rafael,Salinas, Jose Luis,et al. A process-based flood frequency analysis within a trivariate statistical framework. Application to a semi-arid Mediterranean case study[J],2021,603.
APA Salazar-Galan, Sergio,Garcia-Bartual, Rafael,Salinas, Jose Luis,&Frances, Felix.(2021).A process-based flood frequency analysis within a trivariate statistical framework. Application to a semi-arid Mediterranean case study.JOURNAL OF HYDROLOGY,603.
MLA Salazar-Galan, Sergio,et al."A process-based flood frequency analysis within a trivariate statistical framework. Application to a semi-arid Mediterranean case study".JOURNAL OF HYDROLOGY 603(2021).
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