干旱区生态环境知识资源中心(Arid): 再生水回用行为引导政策作用效果仿真

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	再生水回用行为引导政策作用效果仿真
其他题名	Intelligent simulation of behavioral guiding policy on recycled water reuse
	丁超; 付汉良; 何玉麒; 王振华; 吴思美; 王萌萌
来源期刊	中国人口·资源与环境
ISSN	1002-2104
出版年	2021
卷号	31 期号:3 页码:161-170
中文摘要	再生水回用对于增加水资源供给、缓解水环境污染具有重要意义,然而公众对于再生水回用的排斥却制约着再生水回用的推广。针对这一问题,本研究将再生水回用行为引导政策作为研究对象。选取衡量个体与群体之间相互影响关系的关联型自我构建指标,作为不同个体交互规则的设计依据。在此基础上,通过构建Agent-based Model(ABM)模型对不同政策的作用效果进行仿真模拟。首先,在西北干旱地区开展问卷调查,并基于获取的一手数据,训练个体决策的人工神经网络模型。通过将该神经网络模型嵌入ABM模型,来实现仿真模拟过程中的个体自主决策。研究发现:①示范引导型政策对各类再生水回用行为均具有良好的作用效果。 ②环保动机激发型政策和知识普及型政策的作用效果,会分别随着再生水回用行为人体接触程度的提高而增强和减弱。对接触程度高的再生水回用行为,环保动机激发型政策能起到较强的影响效果。③知识普及型政策对于人体接触程度低的再生水回用行为影响效果较好,但对于接触程度高的再生水回用行为甚至出现负向影响。根据研究结论提出以下政策建议:在制定再生水回用推广政策时,应当注意区分不同再生水回用行为的类型,选择适当的引导政策。由于示范引导政策对于各类型再生水回用行为均有较好的引导效果,应加强再生水回用示范工程建设。对于高人体接触程度的再生水回用类别,应当注重对其环保属性的宣传,激发公众的环保动机。对于低人体接触程度的再生水回用类别,则应当注重通过加强相关知识的普及,来打消公众的疑虑。
英文摘要	The reuse of recycled water is of great significance for increasing the supply of water resources and alleviating the pollution of the water environment.However,the public's rejection of recycled water has negative influences on the promotion of recycled water reuse.In order to solve this problem,this study took the behavior guiding policy of recycled water reuse as the research object.The related self-construction index,which measures the interaction between individuals and groups,was selected as the design basis of different individual interaction rules.On this basis,the agent-based model (ABM) was constructed to simulate the effect of different policies.Firstly,a questionnaire survey was carried out in the arid area of Northwest China,and the artificial neural network model of individual decision-making was trained on the basis of the first-hand data obtained.By embedding the neural network model into the ABM model,the individuals'decision-making in the simulation process was realized.The results showed that:① The demonstration guiding policy had a good effect on all kinds of recycled water reuse behaviors.② At the same time,the effect of environmental motivation stimulating policy and knowledge popularization policy could be enhanced or weakened with the increase of human contact degree of recycled water reuse behavior.The environmental motivation stimulating policy had a substantial impact on the recycled water reuses with a high contact degree.③ The knowledge popularization policy had a good effect on the reuse behavior of recycled water with low human contact,but it even harmed the reuse behavior of recycled water with high contact.According to the research conclusion,the following policy recommendations are put forward:When a promotion policy of recycled water reuse is made,attention should be paid to distinguishing different types of recycled water reuse behavior and appropriate guiding policies should be chosen.As the demonstration guiding policy has an excellent guiding effect on all types of recycled water reuse behaviors,it is necessary to strengthen the construction of the demonstration project of recycled water reuse.For the category of recycled water reuse with high human contact,attention should be paid to the publicity of its environmental protection attribute to stimulate the publi's motivation for environmental protection.As for the category of recycled water with a low human contact degree,attention should be paid to the dispelling of the public's misgivings by strengthening the popularization of relevant knowledge.
中文关键词	再生水回用 ; 公众接受 ; 行为引导政策 ; BP神经网络
英文关键词	Agent-based Model recycled water reuse public acceptance behavioral guiding policy back propagation neural network agent-based model
类型	Article
语种	中文
国家	中国
收录类别	CSCD
WOS类目	Environmental Sciences & Ecology
CSCD记录号	CSCD:6977463
资源类型	期刊论文
条目标识符	http://119.78.100.177/qdio/handle/2XILL650/365441
作者单位	丁超, 内蒙古科技大学土木工程学院, 包头, 内蒙古 014010, 中国.; 王振华, 内蒙古科技大学土木工程学院, 包头, 内蒙古 014010, 中国.; 付汉良, 西安建筑科技大学管理学院, 西安, 陕西 710055, 中国.; 何玉麒, 西安建筑科技大学管理学院, 西安, 陕西 710055, 中国.; 王萌萌, 西安建筑科技大学管理学院, 西安, 陕西 710055, 中国.; 吴思美, 西安建筑科技大学土木工程学院, 西安, 陕西 710055, 中国.
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714	丁超,付汉良,何玉麒,等. 再生水回用行为引导政策作用效果仿真[J],2021,31(3):161-170.
APA	丁超,付汉良,何玉麒,王振华,吴思美,&王萌萌.(2021).再生水回用行为引导政策作用效果仿真.中国人口·资源与环境,31(3),161-170.
MLA	丁超,et al."再生水回用行为引导政策作用效果仿真".中国人口·资源与环境 31.3(2021):161-170.