干旱区生态环境知识资源中心(Arid): CMIP5 climate projections and RUSLE-based soil erosion assessment in the central part of Iran

Arid

DOI	10.1038/s41598-021-86618-z
	CMIP5 climate projections and RUSLE-based soil erosion assessment in the central part of Iran
	Hateffard, Fatemeh; Mohammed, Safwan; Alsafadi, Karam; Enaruvbe, Glory O.; Heidari, Ahmad; Abdo, Hazem Ghassan; Rodrigo-Comino, Jesus
通讯作者	Mohammed, S (corresponding author), Univ Debrecen, Inst Land Use Technol & Reg Dev, H-4032 Debrecen, Hungary.
来源期刊	SCIENTIFIC REPORTS
ISSN	2045-2322
出版年	2021
卷号	11 期号:1
英文摘要	Soil erosion (SE) and climate change are closely related to environmental challenges that influence human wellbeing. However, the potential impacts of both processes in semi-arid areas are difficult to be predicted because of atmospheric variations and non-sustainable land use management. Thus, models can be employed to estimate the potential effects of different climatic scenarios on environmental and human interactions. In this research, we present a novel study where changes in soil erosion by water in the central part of Iran under current and future climate scenarios are analyzed using the Climate Model Intercomparison Project-5 (CMIP5) under three Representative Concentration Pathway-RCP 2.6, 4.5 and 8.5 scenarios. Results showed that the estimated annual rate of SE in the study area in 2005, 2010, 2015 and 2019 averaged approximately 12.8 t ha(-1) y(-1). The rangeland areas registered the highest soil erosion values, especially in RCP2.6 and RCP8.5 for 2070 with overall values of 4.25 t ha(-1) y(-1) and 4.1 t ha(-1) y(-1), respectively. They were followed by agriculture fields with 1.31 t ha(-1) y(-1) and 1.33 t ha(-1) y(-1). The lowest results were located in the residential areas with 0.61 t ha(-1) y(-1) and 0.63 t ha(-1) y(-1) in RCP2.6 and RCP8.5 for 2070, respectively. In contrast, RCP4.5 showed that the total soil erosion could experience a decrease in rangelands by - 0.24 t ha(-1) y(-1) (2050), and - 0.18 t ha(-1) y(-1) (2070) or a slight increase in the other land uses. We conclude that this study provides new insights for policymakers and stakeholders to develop appropriate strategies to achieve sustainable land resources planning in semi-arid areas that could be affected by future and unforeseen climate change scenarios.
类型	Article
语种	英语
开放获取类型	gold, Green Published, Green Submitted
收录类别	SCI-E
WOS记录号	WOS:000684827700025
WOS关键词	LAND-USE CHANGE ; LOSS EQUATION RUSLE ; SPATIAL VARIABILITY ; QUALITY INDICATORS ; AGRICULTURAL LAND ; SEDIMENT YIELD ; ORGANIC-CARBON ; CHANGE IMPACTS ; RIVER-BASIN ; WATER
WOS类目	Multidisciplinary Sciences
WOS研究方向	Science & Technology - Other Topics
来源机构	南京信息工程大学
资源类型	期刊论文
条目标识符	http://119.78.100.177/qdio/handle/2XILL650/364660
作者单位	[Hateffard, Fatemeh] Univ Debrecen, Fac Sci & Technol, Dept Landscape Protect & Environm Geog, Debrecen, Hungary; [Mohammed, Safwan] Univ Debrecen, Inst Land Use Technol & Reg Dev, H-4032 Debrecen, Hungary; [Alsafadi, Karam] Alexandria Univ, Fac Arts, Dept Geog & GIS, Alexandria 25435, Egypt; [Alsafadi, Karam] Nanjing Univ Informat Sci & Technol, Sch Geog Sci, Nanjing 210044, Jiangsu, Peoples R China; [Enaruvbe, Glory O.] Obafemi Awolowo Univ, African Reg Inst Geospatial Informat Sci & Techno, Ife, Nigeria; [Heidari, Ahmad] Univ Tehran, Soil Sci Dept, Karaj, Iran; [Abdo, Hazem Ghassan] Univ Tartous, Geog Dept, Tartous, Syria; [Abdo, Hazem Ghassan] Univ Damascus, Geog Dept, Damascus, Syria; [Abdo, Hazem Ghassan] Univ Tishreen, Geog Dept, Latakia, Syria; [Rodrigo-Comino, Jesus] Trier Univ, Phys Geog, D-54296 Trier, Germany; [Rodrigo-Comino, Jesus] Univ Valencia, Dept Geog, Soil Eros & Degradat Res Grp, Valencia 46010, Spain
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714	Hateffard, Fatemeh,Mohammed, Safwan,Alsafadi, Karam,et al. CMIP5 climate projections and RUSLE-based soil erosion assessment in the central part of Iran[J]. 南京信息工程大学,2021,11(1).
APA	Hateffard, Fatemeh.,Mohammed, Safwan.,Alsafadi, Karam.,Enaruvbe, Glory O..,Heidari, Ahmad.,...&Rodrigo-Comino, Jesus.(2021).CMIP5 climate projections and RUSLE-based soil erosion assessment in the central part of Iran.SCIENTIFIC REPORTS,11(1).
MLA	Hateffard, Fatemeh,et al."CMIP5 climate projections and RUSLE-based soil erosion assessment in the central part of Iran".SCIENTIFIC REPORTS 11.1(2021).