干旱区生态环境知识资源中心(Arid): Modeling streamflow driven by climate change in data-scarce mountainous basins

Arid

DOI	10.1016/j.scitotenv.2021.148256
	Modeling streamflow driven by climate change in data-scarce mountainous basins
	Fan, Mengtian; Xu, Jianhua; Chen, Yaning; Li, Weihong
通讯作者	Xu, JH (corresponding author), East China Normal Univ, Sch Geog Sci, Key Lab Geog Informat Sci, Minist Educ, Shanghai 200241, Peoples R China.
来源期刊	SCIENCE OF THE TOTAL ENVIRONMENT
ISSN	0048-9697
EISSN	1879-1026
出版年	2021
卷号	790
英文摘要	The impacts of climate change on the water environment have aroused widespread concern. With global warming, mountainous basins are facing serious water supply situations. However, there are limited meteorological stations on mountains, which thus creates a challenge in terms of accurate simulation of streamflow and water resources. To solve this problem, this study developed a method to model streamflow in data-scarce mountainous basins. Selecting the two head waters originating in the Tienshan mountains, Aksu and Kaidu Rivers, we firstly reconstructed precipitation and temperature dynamics based on Earth system data products, and then integrated the radial basis function artificial neural network and complete ensemble empirical mode decomposition with adaptive noise to model streamflow. Comparison with the observed streamflow according to hydrological stations indicated that the proposed approach was highly accurate. The modeling results showed that the El-Nino Southern Oscillation, temperature, precipitation, and the North Atlantic Oscillation are the main factors driving streamflow, and the streamflow decreased in both the Aksu River and Kaidu River between 2000 and 2017. (c) 2021 Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved.
英文关键词	Data-scarce mountainous basins Integrated modeling Climate change Streamflow simulation
类型	Article
语种	英语
收录类别	SCI-E
WOS记录号	WOS:000684998900008
WOS关键词	TARIM RIVER-BASIN ; ERA-INTERIM ; REGIONAL CLIMATE ; TEMPERATURE DATA ; ANNUAL RUNOFF ; HYBRID MODEL ; KAIDU RIVER ; ARID REGION ; TIEN-SHAN ; PRECIPITATION
WOS类目	Environmental Sciences
WOS研究方向	Environmental Sciences & Ecology
来源机构	中国科学院新疆生态与地理研究所
资源类型	期刊论文
条目标识符	http://119.78.100.177/qdio/handle/2XILL650/364566
作者单位	[Fan, Mengtian; Xu, Jianhua] East China Normal Univ, Sch Geog Sci, Key Lab Geog Informat Sci, Minist Educ, Shanghai 200241, Peoples R China; [Fan, Mengtian; Xu, Jianhua] East China Normal Univ, Res Ctr East West Cooperat China, Shanghai 200241, Peoples R China; [Chen, Yaning; Li, Weihong] Chinese Acad Sci, Xinjiang Inst Ecol & Geog, State Key Lab Desert & Oasis Ecol, Urumqi 830011, Peoples R China
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714	Fan, Mengtian,Xu, Jianhua,Chen, Yaning,et al. Modeling streamflow driven by climate change in data-scarce mountainous basins[J]. 中国科学院新疆生态与地理研究所,2021,790.
APA	Fan, Mengtian,Xu, Jianhua,Chen, Yaning,&Li, Weihong.(2021).Modeling streamflow driven by climate change in data-scarce mountainous basins.SCIENCE OF THE TOTAL ENVIRONMENT,790.
MLA	Fan, Mengtian,et al."Modeling streamflow driven by climate change in data-scarce mountainous basins".SCIENCE OF THE TOTAL ENVIRONMENT 790(2021).