干旱区生态环境知识资源中心(Arid): Evolution and Prediction of Landscape Patterns in the Qinghai Lake Basin

Arid

DOI	10.3390/land10090921
	Evolution and Prediction of Landscape Patterns in the Qinghai Lake Basin
	Han, Yanli; Yu, Deyong; Chen, Kelong
通讯作者	Chen, KL (corresponding author), Qinghai Normal Univ, Coll Geog Sci, Xining 810008, Peoples R China. ; Chen, KL (corresponding author), MOK Key Lab Tibetan Plateau Land Surface Processe, Key Lab Qinghai Prov Phys Geog & Environm Proc, Xining 810008, Peoples R China.
来源期刊	LAND
EISSN	2073-445X
出版年	2021
卷号	10 期号:9
英文摘要	The Qinghai Lake Basin (QLB), located in the northeastern part of the Qinghai-Tibet Plateau, has a fragile ecological environment and is sensitive to global climate change. With the progress of societal and economic development, the tourism industry in the QLB has also developed rapidly, which is bound to result in great changes in landscape patterns. In this study, we first analyzed the change characteristics of landscape patterns in the QLB from 1990 to 2018, and we then used the Markov model and the future land use simulation (FLUS) model, combined with natural, social, and ecological factors, to predict the changes in the number and spatial distribution of landscape patterns in the period between 2026 and 2034. The results of the study show that desert areas have been greatly reduced and transformed into grasslands. The grassland area expanded from 49.22% in 1990 to 59.45% in 2018, corresponding to an increase of 10.23%. The direct cause of this result is the combined effects of natural and man-made factors, with the latter playing a leading role. As such, government decision-making is crucial. Lastly, we simulated the landscape patterns in the period from 2018 to 2034. The results show that in the next 16 years, the proportion of various landscapes will change little, and the spatial distribution will be stable. This research provides a reference for the formulation of ecological environment management and protection policies in the QLB.
英文关键词	Qinghai Lake Basin FLUS model landscape pattern LULC
类型	Article
语种	英语
开放获取类型	gold
收录类别	SSCI
WOS记录号	WOS:000699692300001
WOS关键词	LAND-USE ; DYNAMICS ; CLIMATE ; COVER ; CHINA ; MODEL ; FLUS ; AREA
WOS类目	Environmental Studies
WOS研究方向	Environmental Sciences & Ecology
来源机构	北京师范大学
资源类型	期刊论文
条目标识符	http://119.78.100.177/qdio/handle/2XILL650/364095
作者单位	[Han, Yanli; Yu, Deyong; Chen, Kelong] Qinghai Normal Univ, Coll Geog Sci, Xining 810008, Peoples R China; [Han, Yanli; Yu, Deyong; Chen, Kelong] MOK Key Lab Tibetan Plateau Land Surface Processe, Key Lab Qinghai Prov Phys Geog & Environm Proc, Xining 810008, Peoples R China; [Han, Yanli] Beijing Normal Univ, Key Lab Environm Change & Nat Disaster, Minist Edu, Beijing 100875, Peoples R China; [Yu, Deyong] Beijing Normal Univ, Fac Geog Sci, Beijing 100875, Peoples R China
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714	Han, Yanli,Yu, Deyong,Chen, Kelong. Evolution and Prediction of Landscape Patterns in the Qinghai Lake Basin[J]. 北京师范大学,2021,10(9).
APA	Han, Yanli,Yu, Deyong,&Chen, Kelong.(2021).Evolution and Prediction of Landscape Patterns in the Qinghai Lake Basin.LAND,10(9).
MLA	Han, Yanli,et al."Evolution and Prediction of Landscape Patterns in the Qinghai Lake Basin".LAND 10.9(2021).