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DOI	10.2166/wcc.2020.098
	Modeling the impact of climate change on streamflow and major hydrological components of an Iranian Wadi system
	Mahmoodi, Nariman; Wagner, Paul D.; Kiesel, Jens; Fohrer, Nicola
通讯作者	Mahmoodi, N (corresponding author), Univ Kiel, Inst Nat Resource Conservat, Dept Hydrol & Water Resources Management, Kiel, Germany.
来源期刊	JOURNAL OF WATER AND CLIMATE CHANGE
ISSN	2040-2244
EISSN	2408-9354
出版年	2021
卷号	12 期号:5 页码:1598-1613
英文摘要	Climate change has pronounced impacts on water resources, especially in arid regions. This study aims at assessing the impacts of climate change on streamflow of the Wadi Halilrood Basin which feeds the Jazmorian wetland in southeastern Iran. To simulate streamflow and hydrological components in the future periods (2030-2059 and 2070-2099), projections for the emission scenarios RCP4.5 and RCP8.5 from 11 global-regional climate models and two bias correction methods are used as input data for a hydrologic model that represents the daily streamflow with good accuracy (NSE: 0.76, PBIAS: 4.7, KGE: 0.87). The results indicate a slight increase of streamflow in January and March, due to the higher intensity of precipitation. However, according to the predicted flow duration curves, a decrease for high and very high flow and no remarkable changes for middle, low and very low flow is found under both emission scenarios for both future periods. Compared to the simulated hydrological components for the baseline, a slight increase of evapotranspiration of around 6 mm (4%) and 2 mm (<2%) for the mid- and end of the century is estimated, respectively. Moreover, a substantial drop of water yield of around 36 mm (63%) at mid-century and 39 mm (69%) at the end of the century are projected.
英文关键词	climate change hydrological components streamflow Wadi
类型	Article
语种	英语
开放获取类型	hybrid
收录类别	SCI-E
WOS记录号	WOS:000691092100017
WOS关键词	WATER-RESOURCES ; BIAS CORRECTION ; RIVER-BASIN ; UNCERTAINTY ; ENSEMBLE ; RUNOFF ; SIMULATIONS ; REGIONS ; AREA
WOS类目	Water Resources
WOS研究方向	Water Resources
资源类型	期刊论文
条目标识符	http://119.78.100.177/qdio/handle/2XILL650/364073
作者单位	[Mahmoodi, Nariman; Wagner, Paul D.; Kiesel, Jens; Fohrer, Nicola] Univ Kiel, Inst Nat Resource Conservat, Dept Hydrol & Water Resources Management, Kiel, Germany; [Kiesel, Jens] Leibniz Inst Freshwater Ecol & Inland Fisher IGB, Dept Ecosyst Res, Berlin, Germany
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714	Mahmoodi, Nariman,Wagner, Paul D.,Kiesel, Jens,et al. Modeling the impact of climate change on streamflow and major hydrological components of an Iranian Wadi system[J],2021,12(5):1598-1613.
APA	Mahmoodi, Nariman,Wagner, Paul D.,Kiesel, Jens,&Fohrer, Nicola.(2021).Modeling the impact of climate change on streamflow and major hydrological components of an Iranian Wadi system.JOURNAL OF WATER AND CLIMATE CHANGE,12(5),1598-1613.
MLA	Mahmoodi, Nariman,et al."Modeling the impact of climate change on streamflow and major hydrological components of an Iranian Wadi system".JOURNAL OF WATER AND CLIMATE CHANGE 12.5(2021):1598-1613.