干旱区生态环境知识资源中心(Arid): Modeling current and future potential distributions of desert locust Schistocerca gregaria (Forskal) under climate change scenarios using MaxEnt

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DOI	10.1016/j.japb.2021.05.001
	Modeling current and future potential distributions of desert locust Schistocerca gregaria (Forskal) under climate change scenarios using MaxEnt
	Saha, Arnob; Rahman, Sadniman; Alam, Shofiul
通讯作者	Saha, A (corresponding author), Univ Dhaka, Dept Zool, Dhaka 1000, Bangladesh.
来源期刊	JOURNAL OF ASIA-PACIFIC BIODIVERSITY
EISSN	2287-9544
出版年	2021
卷号	14 期号:3 页码:399-409
英文摘要	Climate changes indulge the spread of pests outside their active range by increasing, decreasing, or shifting appropriate climatic conditions and niche of a particular species. Modeling the future potential distribution of pests using MaxEnt under different climate change scenarios is an effective method for prevention and management protocol. This study was conducted to predict the potential distribution of Schistocerca gregaria in future for better management plans based on two socio-economic pathways (SSPs) for 2050 and 2070. To evaluate the predictive performance of the model, the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC) was used. We used 226 occurrence records and 9 bioclimatic variables to simulate the current and future distributions of S. gregaria. The precision of the MaxEnt model was highly significant, with mean AUC value ranging from 0.929 to 0.940 for all of the evaluated models. The jackknife test showed that Bio 11 and Bio18 contributed 51.4% and 17.3% to the MaxEnt model. A total of 2,557,856 km(2) (1.69%) area were recognized as high potential habitats of S. gregaria. However, in 2050 and 2070 high-potential areas would decrease for both of the SSP scenarios. (C) 2021 National Science Museum of Korea (NSMK) and Korea National Arboretum (KNA), Publishing Services by Elsevier.
英文关键词	Climatic suitability CMlP6 Desert locust Invasion Species distribution modeling Worldclim
类型	Article
语种	英语
开放获取类型	gold
收录类别	ESCI
WOS记录号	WOS:000691555000003
WOS关键词	SPECIES DISTRIBUTION MODELS ; PHASE POLYMORPHISM ; FIRE ANT ; IMPACTS ; PLANT ; INFORMATION ; EXTENSIONS ; MANAGEMENT ; ECOLOGY ; SYSTEM
WOS类目	Biodiversity Conservation ; Biology
WOS研究方向	Biodiversity & Conservation ; Life Sciences & Biomedicine - Other Topics
资源类型	期刊论文
条目标识符	http://119.78.100.177/qdio/handle/2XILL650/363790
作者单位	[Saha, Arnob; Rahman, Sadniman; Alam, Shofiul] Univ Dhaka, Dept Zool, Dhaka 1000, Bangladesh
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714	Saha, Arnob,Rahman, Sadniman,Alam, Shofiul. Modeling current and future potential distributions of desert locust Schistocerca gregaria (Forskal) under climate change scenarios using MaxEnt[J],2021,14(3):399-409.
APA	Saha, Arnob,Rahman, Sadniman,&Alam, Shofiul.(2021).Modeling current and future potential distributions of desert locust Schistocerca gregaria (Forskal) under climate change scenarios using MaxEnt.JOURNAL OF ASIA-PACIFIC BIODIVERSITY,14(3),399-409.
MLA	Saha, Arnob,et al."Modeling current and future potential distributions of desert locust Schistocerca gregaria (Forskal) under climate change scenarios using MaxEnt".JOURNAL OF ASIA-PACIFIC BIODIVERSITY 14.3(2021):399-409.