干旱区生态环境知识资源中心(Arid): Present and future projections of heatwave hazard-risk over India: A regional earth system model assessment

Arid

DOI	10.1016/j.envres.2021.111573
	Present and future projections of heatwave hazard-risk over India: A regional earth system model assessment
	Dubey, Aditya Kumar; Lal, Preet; Kumar, Pankaj; Kumar, Amit; Dvornikov, Y. Anton
通讯作者	Kumar, P (corresponding author), Indian Inst Sci Educ & Res Bhopal, Dept Earth & Environm Sci, Bhopal, India.
来源期刊	ENVIRONMENTAL RESEARCH
ISSN	0013-9351
EISSN	1096-0953
出版年	2021
卷号	201
英文摘要	The heatwave is a disastrous hazard having significant impacts on health and society. This study analyses the heatwave hazards and risk for India's current and future scenarios using socioeconomic vulnerability and temperature datasets during the summer (April-June) season. The Census of India (CoI) 2011 datasets were considered to assess current vulnerability and projected from the SocioEconomic Data And Application Center (SEDAC) population at Shared Socioeconomic Pathway (SSP) 4 for future vulnerability. Whereas IMD temperature data used for hazard assessment for the present scenario (1958-2005) while projected temperature data from regional earth system model REMO-OASIS-MPIOM (ROM) were used for the future (2006-2099) scenario. The study exhibited the most hazardous, vulnerable, and risk-prone regions identified as the south-eastern coast and Indo-Gangetic plains and some populous districts with metropolitan regions (Mumbai, Delhi, and Kolkata) under the current scenario. The coupled model ROM has efficiently captured the critical districts with higher and lower risk, showing its future projection capability. The study highlighted that the heatwave hazard-risk would significantly worsen in future scenarios in all districts under enhanced global warming and largely affecting the districts in the eastern and middle Indo-Gangetic plains and Malabar region. The present study will provide sufficient insights into designing mitigation strategies and future adaptive planning for the heatwave risk, which is one of the targets under Sustainable Development Goal 13 (Goal 13: Climate Action).
英文关键词	Heatwave hazards Vulnerability Risk Projection Regional earth system model
类型	Article
语种	英语
收录类别	SCI-E ; SSCI
WOS记录号	WOS:000703869900004
WOS关键词	TEMPERATURE ; SUMMER ; SIMULATION ; INDEXES ; PRECIPITATION ; SCENARIOS ; ENSEMBLE ; EXTREMES ; LEVEL ; URBAN
WOS类目	Environmental Sciences ; Public, Environmental & Occupational Health
WOS研究方向	Environmental Sciences & Ecology ; Public, Environmental & Occupational Health
资源类型	期刊论文
条目标识符	http://119.78.100.177/qdio/handle/2XILL650/363143
作者单位	[Dubey, Aditya Kumar; Lal, Preet; Kumar, Pankaj] Indian Inst Sci Educ & Res Bhopal, Dept Earth & Environm Sci, Bhopal, India; [Lal, Preet; Kumar, Amit] Cent Univ Jharkhand, Dept Geoinformat, Ranchi, Bihar, India; [Dvornikov, Y. Anton] Russian Acad Sci, Shirshov Inst Oceanol, Moscow, Russia
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714	Dubey, Aditya Kumar,Lal, Preet,Kumar, Pankaj,et al. Present and future projections of heatwave hazard-risk over India: A regional earth system model assessment[J],2021,201.
APA	Dubey, Aditya Kumar,Lal, Preet,Kumar, Pankaj,Kumar, Amit,&Dvornikov, Y. Anton.(2021).Present and future projections of heatwave hazard-risk over India: A regional earth system model assessment.ENVIRONMENTAL RESEARCH,201.
MLA	Dubey, Aditya Kumar,et al."Present and future projections of heatwave hazard-risk over India: A regional earth system model assessment".ENVIRONMENTAL RESEARCH 201(2021).