干旱区生态环境知识资源中心(Arid): Forest fire probability under ENSO conditions in a semi-arid region: a case study in Guanajuato

Arid

DOI	10.1007/s10661-021-09494-0
	Forest fire probability under ENSO conditions in a semi-arid region: a case study in Guanajuato
	Farfan, Michelle; Dominguez, Christian; Espinoza, Alejandra; Jaramillo, Alejandro; Alcantara, Camilo; Maldonado, Victor; Tovar, Israel; Flamenco, Alejandro
通讯作者	Jaramillo, A (corresponding author), Univ Nacl Autonoma Mexico, Inst Ciencias Atmosfera & Cambio Climat, Ciudad Univ, Mexico City 04510, DF, Mexico.
来源期刊	ENVIRONMENTAL MONITORING AND ASSESSMENT
ISSN	0167-6369
EISSN	1573-2959
出版年	2021
卷号	193 期号:10
英文摘要	Fires can pose a threat to forest ecosystems when those ecosystems are not fire-adapted or when forest community conditions make them vulnerable to wildfires. Thus, investigating fire-prone environmental conditions is urgently needed to create action plans that preserve these ecosystems. In this sense, climate variables can determine the environmental conditions favorable for forest fires. Our study confirms that vapor pressure deficit (VPD) is an essential climate indicator for forest fires, as it is related to maximum temperatures and low humidity, representing the stress conditions for vegetation prone to fires. This study explores the extent to which ENSO phases can modulate climatic conditions that lead to high VPD over Guanajuato, a semi-arid region in central Mexico, during the dry season (March-April-May). Using fire occurrence data from MODIS (2000-2019) and Landsat 5 (1998-1999), we developed a climatic probability model for the occurrence of forest fires using VPD estimated from ERA5 reanalysis for each ENSO phase. We found that VPD and the occurrence of forest fires were higher during El Nino than under Neutral and La Nina years, with a higher risk of forest fire occurrence in Guanajuato's southern region. This study concludes that it is necessary to implement regional and local fire management plans, especially where the largest number of natural protected areas is located.
英文关键词	Vapor pressure deficit El Nino-Southern Oscillation Dry environmental conditions Wildfires
类型	Article
语种	英语
收录类别	SCI-E
WOS记录号	WOS:000702804600007
WOS关键词	VAPOR-PRESSURE DEFICIT ; CLIMATE-CHANGE ; BURN SEVERITY ; NOAA-AVHRR ; VARIABILITY ; WILDFIRE ; AMAZON ; AREA ; MANAGEMENT ; ACCURACY
WOS类目	Environmental Sciences
WOS研究方向	Environmental Sciences & Ecology
来源机构	Universidad Nacional Autónoma de México
资源类型	期刊论文
条目标识符	http://119.78.100.177/qdio/handle/2XILL650/363130
作者单位	[Farfan, Michelle; Espinoza, Alejandra; Alcantara, Camilo; Maldonado, Victor; Tovar, Israel; Flamenco, Alejandro] Univ Guanajuato, Dept Ingn Geomat & Hidraul, Div Ingn, Guanajuato, Mexico; [Dominguez, Christian; Jaramillo, Alejandro] Univ Nacl Autonoma Mexico, Inst Ciencias Atmosfera & Cambio Climat, Ciudad Univ, Mexico City 04510, DF, Mexico
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714	Farfan, Michelle,Dominguez, Christian,Espinoza, Alejandra,et al. Forest fire probability under ENSO conditions in a semi-arid region: a case study in Guanajuato[J]. Universidad Nacional Autónoma de México,2021,193(10).
APA	Farfan, Michelle.,Dominguez, Christian.,Espinoza, Alejandra.,Jaramillo, Alejandro.,Alcantara, Camilo.,...&Flamenco, Alejandro.(2021).Forest fire probability under ENSO conditions in a semi-arid region: a case study in Guanajuato.ENVIRONMENTAL MONITORING AND ASSESSMENT,193(10).
MLA	Farfan, Michelle,et al."Forest fire probability under ENSO conditions in a semi-arid region: a case study in Guanajuato".ENVIRONMENTAL MONITORING AND ASSESSMENT 193.10(2021).