Arid
DOI10.1016/j.ecolind.2021.107996
Quantifying the contribution of climate change and human activities to biophysical parameters in an arid region
Zhang, Wenqiang; Luo, Geping; Chen, Chunbo; Ochege, Friday U.; Hellwich, Olaf; Zheng, Hongwei; Hamdi, Rafiq; Wu, Shixin
通讯作者Luo, GP ; Wu, SX (corresponding author), Chinese Acad Sci, Xinjiang Inst Ecol & Geog, State Key Lab Desert & Oasis Ecol, Urumqi 830011, Peoples R China.
来源期刊ECOLOGICAL INDICATORS
ISSN1470-160X
EISSN1872-7034
出版年2021
卷号129
英文摘要Quantifying the variation of biophysical parameters and their driving mechanisms is essential for monitoring land surface environmental changes and for understanding the land-atmosphere interaction in the arid region. Due to the complexity of human activities, most researches are limited to climate change, whereas the response analysis of human activities to changes in biophysical parameters are still lacking or not comprehensively considered. Therefore, large biases and uncertainties still exist in the estimates of regional responses to global change. Firstly, we specifically quantified the main human activities related to land use/land cover change (LULCC) in the northern Tianshan Mountains (NTM), and identified the spatiotemporal changes of primary biophysical parameters, including Albedo, leaf area index (LAI), land surface temperature (LST), and Normalized Difference Vegetation Index (NDVI). Then, we tested the performance of the five models used, including multiple linear regression (MLR), random forest (RF), support vector regression (SVR), multi-layer perceptron (MLP), and K-nearest neighbor (KNN). RF outperformed others and was used to quantify and disaggregate the contribution of climate change and human activities to land surface parameters in the NTM. We found a strong spatial heterogeneity in the spatial variation of all biophysical parameters. Except for LST, the annual maximum Albedo, LAI, and NDVI showed a significant increasing trend in the NTM from 2000 to 2019 (p < 0.05). Generally, climate change contributed more to the biophysical parameters than human activities. However, the contribution of human activities to NDVI was 0.51, which was greater than that of climate change during 2000-2015. This study provides new insight on the impact of climate change and human activities on biophysical parameters and a scientific basis for model parameterization in the arid region.
英文关键词Climate change Human activities Biophysical parameters The Northern slope of the Tianshan Mountains Random Forest model Machine learning
类型Article
语种英语
开放获取类型gold
收录类别SCI-E
WOS记录号WOS:000681693800006
WOS关键词SURFACE-TEMPERATURE ; TIANSHAN MOUNTAINS ; VEGETATION COVER ; NORTHERN SLOPE ; RIVER-BASIN ; MODIS ; REGRESSION ; EVAPOTRANSPIRATION ; COEFFICIENT ; PRODUCTS
WOS类目Biodiversity Conservation ; Environmental Sciences
WOS研究方向Biodiversity & Conservation ; Environmental Sciences & Ecology
来源机构中国科学院新疆生态与地理研究所
资源类型期刊论文
条目标识符http://119.78.100.177/qdio/handle/2XILL650/362979
作者单位[Zhang, Wenqiang; Luo, Geping; Chen, Chunbo; Ochege, Friday U.; Zheng, Hongwei; Hamdi, Rafiq; Wu, Shixin] Chinese Acad Sci, Xinjiang Inst Ecol & Geog, State Key Lab Desert & Oasis Ecol, Urumqi 830011, Peoples R China; [Zhang, Wenqiang; Luo, Geping; Ochege, Friday U.; Zheng, Hongwei] Univ Chinese Acad Sci, Beijing 100049, Peoples R China; [Luo, Geping] Chinese Acad Sci, Res Ctr Ecol & Environm Cent Asia, Urumqi 830011, Peoples R China; [Hellwich, Olaf] Tech Univ Berlin, Dept Comp Vis & Remote Sensing, D-10587 Berlin, Germany; [Hamdi, Rafiq] Royal Meteorol Inst, B-1180 Brussels, Belgium; [Hamdi, Rafiq] Univ Ghent, Dept Phys & Astron, B-9000 Ghent, Belgium
推荐引用方式
GB/T 7714
Zhang, Wenqiang,Luo, Geping,Chen, Chunbo,et al. Quantifying the contribution of climate change and human activities to biophysical parameters in an arid region[J]. 中国科学院新疆生态与地理研究所,2021,129.
APA Zhang, Wenqiang.,Luo, Geping.,Chen, Chunbo.,Ochege, Friday U..,Hellwich, Olaf.,...&Wu, Shixin.(2021).Quantifying the contribution of climate change and human activities to biophysical parameters in an arid region.ECOLOGICAL INDICATORS,129.
MLA Zhang, Wenqiang,et al."Quantifying the contribution of climate change and human activities to biophysical parameters in an arid region".ECOLOGICAL INDICATORS 129(2021).
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