Arid
DOI10.1029/2021EA001804
The Effects of Climate Change on Chinese Medicinal Yam Over North China Under the High-Resolution PRECIS Projection
Fan, Dongli; Jiang, Zhiyu; Tian, Zhan; Dong, Guangtao; Sun, Laixiang
通讯作者Tian, Z (corresponding author), Southern Univ Sci & Technol, Sch Environm Sci & Engn, Shenzhen, Peoples R China. ; Sun, LX (corresponding author), Univ Maryland, Dept Geog Sci, College Pk, MD 20742 USA. ; Sun, LX (corresponding author), SOAS Univ London, Sch Finance & Management, London, England.
来源期刊EARTH AND SPACE SCIENCE
EISSN2333-5084
出版年2021
卷号8期号:8
英文摘要The arid and semi-arid regions are highly vulnerable to climate change and variability. Agricultural production in these regions is particularly vulnerable because of its heavy dependence on climate conditions. Therefore, it is important to improve the projections of future agro-climatic conditions. This study investigates the changes in agroclimatic conditions for growing Chinese Medicinal Yam (CMY) in the semi-arid North China during 2031-2050 under the Representative Concentration Pathway (RCP) 4.5 and 8.5 emission scenarios. It employs high-resolution climate data provided by the regional climate model (RCM) of Providing Regional Climates for Impacts Studies (PRECIS-2.0). The changes in CMY yield and producing area under future climate change are simulated by the Agro-Ecological Zone model. The simulations are based on newly calibrated cultivar parameters. The results show that the high-resolution RCM simulation corresponds better with the observations of precipitation and temperature than the general circulation model (GCM). Because of the increased temperature and precipitation, the agroclimatic conditions for CMY are going to improve. While the traditional yam production area will maintain suitable for CMY production, the CMY production areas will further expand northward in the future. The average yield will increase by 1,196 and 1,336 kg DM/ha under RCP 4.5 and 8.5 emission scenarios, respectively.
类型Article
语种英语
开放获取类型gold
收录类别SCI-E
WOS记录号WOS:000691103000026
WOS关键词WATER-RESOURCES ; PRECIPITATION EXTREMES ; ENSEMBLE PROJECTIONS ; AGRICULTURE ; IMPACTS ; MODEL ; RCM ; UNCERTAINTY ; TEMPERATURE ; ADAPTATION
WOS类目Astronomy & Astrophysics ; Geosciences, Multidisciplinary
WOS研究方向Astronomy & Astrophysics ; Geology
来源机构南京大学 ; University of London
资源类型期刊论文
条目标识符http://119.78.100.177/qdio/handle/2XILL650/362954
作者单位[Fan, Dongli] Shanghai Inst Technol, Shanghai, Peoples R China; [Jiang, Zhiyu] Nanjing Univ, Sch Atmospher Sci, Nanjing, Peoples R China; [Tian, Zhan] Southern Univ Sci & Technol, Sch Environm Sci & Engn, Shenzhen, Peoples R China; [Dong, Guangtao] Shanghai Climate Ctr, Shanghai, Peoples R China; [Dong, Guangtao] China Meteorol Adm, Key Lab Cities Mitigat & Adaptat Climate Change S, Shanghai, Peoples R China; [Sun, Laixiang] Univ Maryland, Dept Geog Sci, College Pk, MD 20742 USA; [Sun, Laixiang] SOAS Univ London, Sch Finance & Management, London, England
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Fan, Dongli,Jiang, Zhiyu,Tian, Zhan,et al. The Effects of Climate Change on Chinese Medicinal Yam Over North China Under the High-Resolution PRECIS Projection[J]. 南京大学, University of London,2021,8(8).
APA Fan, Dongli,Jiang, Zhiyu,Tian, Zhan,Dong, Guangtao,&Sun, Laixiang.(2021).The Effects of Climate Change on Chinese Medicinal Yam Over North China Under the High-Resolution PRECIS Projection.EARTH AND SPACE SCIENCE,8(8).
MLA Fan, Dongli,et al."The Effects of Climate Change on Chinese Medicinal Yam Over North China Under the High-Resolution PRECIS Projection".EARTH AND SPACE SCIENCE 8.8(2021).
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