Knowledge Resource Center for Ecological Environment in Arid Area
DOI | 10.1029/2021EA001804 |
The Effects of Climate Change on Chinese Medicinal Yam Over North China Under the High-Resolution PRECIS Projection | |
Fan, Dongli; Jiang, Zhiyu; Tian, Zhan; Dong, Guangtao; Sun, Laixiang | |
通讯作者 | Tian, Z (corresponding author), Southern Univ Sci & Technol, Sch Environm Sci & Engn, Shenzhen, Peoples R China. ; Sun, LX (corresponding author), Univ Maryland, Dept Geog Sci, College Pk, MD 20742 USA. ; Sun, LX (corresponding author), SOAS Univ London, Sch Finance & Management, London, England. |
来源期刊 | EARTH AND SPACE SCIENCE
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EISSN | 2333-5084 |
出版年 | 2021 |
卷号 | 8期号:8 |
英文摘要 | The arid and semi-arid regions are highly vulnerable to climate change and variability. Agricultural production in these regions is particularly vulnerable because of its heavy dependence on climate conditions. Therefore, it is important to improve the projections of future agro-climatic conditions. This study investigates the changes in agroclimatic conditions for growing Chinese Medicinal Yam (CMY) in the semi-arid North China during 2031-2050 under the Representative Concentration Pathway (RCP) 4.5 and 8.5 emission scenarios. It employs high-resolution climate data provided by the regional climate model (RCM) of Providing Regional Climates for Impacts Studies (PRECIS-2.0). The changes in CMY yield and producing area under future climate change are simulated by the Agro-Ecological Zone model. The simulations are based on newly calibrated cultivar parameters. The results show that the high-resolution RCM simulation corresponds better with the observations of precipitation and temperature than the general circulation model (GCM). Because of the increased temperature and precipitation, the agroclimatic conditions for CMY are going to improve. While the traditional yam production area will maintain suitable for CMY production, the CMY production areas will further expand northward in the future. The average yield will increase by 1,196 and 1,336 kg DM/ha under RCP 4.5 and 8.5 emission scenarios, respectively. |
类型 | Article |
语种 | 英语 |
开放获取类型 | gold |
收录类别 | SCI-E |
WOS记录号 | WOS:000691103000026 |
WOS关键词 | WATER-RESOURCES ; PRECIPITATION EXTREMES ; ENSEMBLE PROJECTIONS ; AGRICULTURE ; IMPACTS ; MODEL ; RCM ; UNCERTAINTY ; TEMPERATURE ; ADAPTATION |
WOS类目 | Astronomy & Astrophysics ; Geosciences, Multidisciplinary |
WOS研究方向 | Astronomy & Astrophysics ; Geology |
来源机构 | 南京大学 ; University of London |
资源类型 | 期刊论文 |
条目标识符 | http://119.78.100.177/qdio/handle/2XILL650/362954 |
作者单位 | [Fan, Dongli] Shanghai Inst Technol, Shanghai, Peoples R China; [Jiang, Zhiyu] Nanjing Univ, Sch Atmospher Sci, Nanjing, Peoples R China; [Tian, Zhan] Southern Univ Sci & Technol, Sch Environm Sci & Engn, Shenzhen, Peoples R China; [Dong, Guangtao] Shanghai Climate Ctr, Shanghai, Peoples R China; [Dong, Guangtao] China Meteorol Adm, Key Lab Cities Mitigat & Adaptat Climate Change S, Shanghai, Peoples R China; [Sun, Laixiang] Univ Maryland, Dept Geog Sci, College Pk, MD 20742 USA; [Sun, Laixiang] SOAS Univ London, Sch Finance & Management, London, England |
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Fan, Dongli,Jiang, Zhiyu,Tian, Zhan,et al. The Effects of Climate Change on Chinese Medicinal Yam Over North China Under the High-Resolution PRECIS Projection[J]. 南京大学, University of London,2021,8(8). |
APA | Fan, Dongli,Jiang, Zhiyu,Tian, Zhan,Dong, Guangtao,&Sun, Laixiang.(2021).The Effects of Climate Change on Chinese Medicinal Yam Over North China Under the High-Resolution PRECIS Projection.EARTH AND SPACE SCIENCE,8(8). |
MLA | Fan, Dongli,et al."The Effects of Climate Change on Chinese Medicinal Yam Over North China Under the High-Resolution PRECIS Projection".EARTH AND SPACE SCIENCE 8.8(2021). |
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