干旱区生态环境知识资源中心(Arid): Simulation and estimation of future precipitation changes in arid regions: a case study of Xinjiang, Northwest China

Arid

DOI	10.1007/s10584-021-03192-z
	Simulation and estimation of future precipitation changes in arid regions: a case study of Xinjiang, Northwest China
	Du, Haoyang; Zhou, Chen; Tang, Haoqing; Jin, Xiaolong; Chen, Dengshuai; Jiang, Penghui; Li, Manchun
通讯作者	Zhou, C ; Li, MC (corresponding author), Nanjing Univ, Sch Geog & Ocean Sci, Nanjing 210023, Peoples R China. ; Zhou, C ; Li, MC (corresponding author), Nanjing Univ, Jiangsu Prov Key Lab Geog Informat Sci & Technol, Nanjing 210023, Peoples R China.
来源期刊	CLIMATIC CHANGE
ISSN	0165-0009
EISSN	1573-1480
出版年	2021
卷号	167 期号:3-4
英文摘要	Precipitation is critical for maintaining the stability of an ecosystem, especially in arid regions. This study primarily focuses on climatic changes during present (from 1985 to 2005) and future (from 2040 to 2059) periods in Xinjiang, Northwest China. In this study, the Weather Research and Forecasting model is implemented in Xinjiang to efficiently predict the future climate. Moreover, the National Climate Research Center Community Climate System Model version 4 is employed for the mid-21(st) century under representative concentration pathways 4.5 and 8.5 (RCP4.5 and RCP8.5, respectively). Our results indicate that the amount of annual precipitation will increase in the future under RCP4.5 and RCP8.5 in Xinjiang, especially in mountainous areas. The increase in precipitation is predicted to be much smaller under RCP8.5 than under RCP4.5, except in Southern Xinjiang. Moreover, the increasing precipitation predicted in Xinjiang implies that the current humid and warm conditions will persist, thereby further indicating that Xinjiang is still currently suffering from a dry climate. The largest increase in seasonal precipitation is predicted to occur in spring and summer in Tianshan and Northern Xinjiang, whereas this phenomenon is predicted to occur in spring and winter in Southern Xinjiang. In addition, it is predicted that daily heavy precipitation events will occur more frequently in various subregions of Xinjiang, although light rain events will remain dominant. Finally, the relative humidity is closely related to the changes in annual and seasonal precipitation.
英文关键词	WRF Projected precipitation CCSM4 RCP4 5 RCP8 5
类型	Article
语种	英语
开放获取类型	Green Submitted
收录类别	SCI-E
WOS记录号	WOS:000686633300001
WOS关键词	CLIMATE-CHANGE ; EXTREME PRECIPITATION ; PASSIVE MICROWAVE ; CENTRAL-ASIA ; TEMPERATURE ; MODEL ; IMPLEMENTATION ; VARIABILITY ; ECOSYSTEMS ; ATMOSPHERE
WOS类目	Environmental Sciences ; Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences
WOS研究方向	Environmental Sciences & Ecology ; Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences
来源机构	南京大学
资源类型	期刊论文
条目标识符	http://119.78.100.177/qdio/handle/2XILL650/362883
作者单位	[Du, Haoyang; Zhou, Chen; Tang, Haoqing; Jin, Xiaolong; Chen, Dengshuai; Jiang, Penghui; Li, Manchun] Nanjing Univ, Sch Geog & Ocean Sci, Nanjing 210023, Peoples R China; [Du, Haoyang; Zhou, Chen; Tang, Haoqing; Jin, Xiaolong; Chen, Dengshuai; Jiang, Penghui; Li, Manchun] Nanjing Univ, Jiangsu Prov Key Lab Geog Informat Sci & Technol, Nanjing 210023, Peoples R China
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714	Du, Haoyang,Zhou, Chen,Tang, Haoqing,et al. Simulation and estimation of future precipitation changes in arid regions: a case study of Xinjiang, Northwest China[J]. 南京大学,2021,167(3-4).
APA	Du, Haoyang.,Zhou, Chen.,Tang, Haoqing.,Jin, Xiaolong.,Chen, Dengshuai.,...&Li, Manchun.(2021).Simulation and estimation of future precipitation changes in arid regions: a case study of Xinjiang, Northwest China.CLIMATIC CHANGE,167(3-4).
MLA	Du, Haoyang,et al."Simulation and estimation of future precipitation changes in arid regions: a case study of Xinjiang, Northwest China".CLIMATIC CHANGE 167.3-4(2021).