Arid
DOI10.1016/j.actao.2021.103718
Present and future of Iris atrofusca populations in the Negev Desert analyzed by population viability analysis and species distribution modeling
Volis, Sergei; Blecher, Michael
通讯作者Volis, S (corresponding author), Katif Ctr Res & Dev Coastal Deserts, Beer Sheva, Israel.
来源期刊ACTA OECOLOGICA-INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF ECOLOGY
ISSN1146-609X
EISSN1873-6238
出版年2021
卷号111
英文摘要A recovery plan for an imperiled plant species is impossible without good knowledge of population demography and biotic/abiotic effects on the latter. The aim of our study was to analyze to what extent the Negev populations of Iris atrofusca Baker (Iridaceae), a species endemic to Israel and Jordan, are threatened by the internal population dynamics, and the factors affecting it, including grazing and competition. We conducted a demographic population viability analysis to identify the most important life cycle stages and forecast the population future; and tested experimentally the effects of grazing and competition with a co-occurring Asphodelus ramosus on species growth and reproduction. In addition, we utilized species distribution modeling (SDM) to determine a potentially suitable species range, both under the current climate and the climate expected in the near future. After evaluating the long-term demographic trends of the Negev populations, the recommended conservation actions to prevent their disappearance were not congruent for two different parts of this region because both the population processes of reproduction and recruitment and the role of external factors affecting them differed between the sub-regions.
英文关键词Population demography PVA Population projection Elasticity Threatened species Oncocyclus Plant conservation
类型Article
语种英语
收录类别SCI-E
WOS记录号WOS:000667166300008
WOS关键词CLIMATE-CHANGE ; DYNAMICS ; ONCOCYCLUS
WOS类目Ecology
WOS研究方向Environmental Sciences & Ecology
来源机构Hebrew University of Jerusalem
资源类型期刊论文
条目标识符http://119.78.100.177/qdio/handle/2XILL650/362306
作者单位[Volis, Sergei] Katif Ctr Res & Dev Coastal Deserts, Beer Sheva, Israel; [Blecher, Michael] Hebrew Univ Jerusalem, Natl Nat Hist Collect, Jerusalem, Israel
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Volis, Sergei,Blecher, Michael. Present and future of Iris atrofusca populations in the Negev Desert analyzed by population viability analysis and species distribution modeling[J]. Hebrew University of Jerusalem,2021,111.
APA Volis, Sergei,&Blecher, Michael.(2021).Present and future of Iris atrofusca populations in the Negev Desert analyzed by population viability analysis and species distribution modeling.ACTA OECOLOGICA-INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF ECOLOGY,111.
MLA Volis, Sergei,et al."Present and future of Iris atrofusca populations in the Negev Desert analyzed by population viability analysis and species distribution modeling".ACTA OECOLOGICA-INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF ECOLOGY 111(2021).
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