干旱区生态环境知识资源中心(Arid): Shift of potential natural vegetation against global climate change under historical, current and future scenarios

Arid

DOI	10.1071/RJ20092
	Shift of potential natural vegetation against global climate change under historical, current and future scenarios
	Ren, Zhengchao; Zhu, Huazhong; Shi, Hua; Liu, Xiaoni
通讯作者	Ren, ZC (corresponding author), Gansu Agr Univ, Res Ctr Ecol Construct & Environm Conservat Gansu, Lanzhou 730070, Peoples R China. ; Ren, ZC (corresponding author), Gansu Agr Univ, Coll Pratacultural Sci, Lanzhou 730070, Peoples R China.
来源期刊	RANGELAND JOURNAL
ISSN	1036-9872
EISSN	1834-7541
出版年	2021-03
英文摘要	Potential natural vegetation (PNV), the final successional stage of vegetation, plays a key role in ecological restoration, the design of nature reserves, and development of agriculture and livestock production. Meteorological data from historical and current periods including the last inter-glacial (LIG), last glacial maximum (LGM), mid Holocene (MH) periods and the present day (PD), plus derived data from 2050 and 2070, in conjunction with the Comprehensive and Sequential Classification System (CSCS) model, were used to classify global PNV. The 42 classes of global PNV were regrouped into 10 groups to facilitate analysis of spatial changes. Finally, spatio-temporal patterns and successional processes of global PNV as well as the response to climate changes were analysed. Our study made the following five conclusions. (1) Only one missing class (IA1 frigid-extrarid frigid desert, alpine desert) arose in periods of LIG, MH, 2050, and 2070 for global PNV. (2) The frigid-arid groups were mainly distributed in higher latitudes and elevations, but temperate-humid groups and tropical-perhumid groups occurred in middle and low latitudes, respectively. Temperate zonal forest steppe, warm desert, savanna and tropical zonal forest steppe increased, while six other groups decreased. (3) The conversion from temperate zonal forest steppe to tundra and alpine steppe from LIG to LGM occupied the largest area, indicating a drastic shift in climate and the associated response of terrestrial vegetation sensitive to climate change. (4) The CSCS could be used to simulate the long-term succession of global PNV. (5) As a consequence of global warming, forests shifted to the northern hemisphere and Tibet, areas with much higher latitude and elevation. The PNV groups with greater shift distance revealed the more serious effects of global climate change on vegetation.
英文关键词	CSCS spatio-temporal pattern vegetation classification system degraded ecosystem potential natural vegetation nature reserves
类型	Article ; Early Access
语种	英语
收录类别	SCI-E
WOS记录号	WOS:000626472100001
WOS类目	Ecology
WOS研究方向	Environmental Sciences & Ecology
来源机构	中国科学院地理科学与资源研究所 ; United States Geological Survey
资源类型	期刊论文
条目标识符	http://119.78.100.177/qdio/handle/2XILL650/352443
作者单位	[Ren, Zhengchao] Gansu Agr Univ, Res Ctr Ecol Construct & Environm Conservat Gansu, Lanzhou 730070, Peoples R China; [Ren, Zhengchao; Liu, Xiaoni] Gansu Agr Univ, Coll Pratacultural Sci, Lanzhou 730070, Peoples R China; [Zhu, Huazhong] Chinese Acad Sci, Inst Geog Sci & Nat Resources Res, Beijing 100101, Peoples R China; [Shi, Hua] US Geol Survey USGS, AFDS, Earth Resources Observat & Sci EROS Ctr, Sioux Falls, SD 57198 USA
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714	Ren, Zhengchao,Zhu, Huazhong,Shi, Hua,et al. Shift of potential natural vegetation against global climate change under historical, current and future scenarios[J]. 中国科学院地理科学与资源研究所, United States Geological Survey,2021.
APA	Ren, Zhengchao,Zhu, Huazhong,Shi, Hua,&Liu, Xiaoni.(2021).Shift of potential natural vegetation against global climate change under historical, current and future scenarios.RANGELAND JOURNAL.
MLA	Ren, Zhengchao,et al."Shift of potential natural vegetation against global climate change under historical, current and future scenarios".RANGELAND JOURNAL (2021).