干旱区生态环境知识资源中心(Arid): Seasonal meteorological drought projections over Iran using the NMME data

Arid

DOI	10.1007/s11069-021-04721-w
	Seasonal meteorological drought projections over Iran using the NMME data
	Moradian, Sogol; Yazdandoost, Farhad
通讯作者	Yazdandoost, F (corresponding author), KN Toosi Univ Technol, Dept Civil Engn, 1346 Mirdamad Intersect,Valiasr Ave, Tehran 19697, Iran.
来源期刊	NATURAL HAZARDS
ISSN	0921-030X
EISSN	1573-0840
出版年	2021
英文摘要	Accurate and well-planned forecasts provide critical information for preparedness and mitigation strategies as well as the sustainable practice of water resources conservation. In this paper, an experimental seasonal drought forecasting system has been developed based on meteorological hindcasts, generated by the North American Multi-Model Ensemble (NMME) models. The proposed toolbox comprises (1) NMME data as well as observations, (2) post-processing methods, namely GrandNMME and bias correction methods to statistically post-process precipitation predictions, (3) evaluation metrics of a multi-criteria decision-making method (namely the Technique for Order of Preference by Similarity to Ideal Solution (TOPSIS)) to choose the best post-processed improved data, and (4) the Standardized Precipitation Index (SPI) calculator as the central engine, where distribution maps of seasonal drought forecasts are generated. The toolbox has been utilized for the case of Iran. The country is located in semiarid and arid regions of the world, facing considerable water crisis including droughts. Results indicated that the proposed NMME-based drought forecasting toolbox has a significant skill in forecasting droughts over the study area and provides critical information for early warnings, medium-term response planning and taking preventive measures.
英文关键词	Iran NMME predictions Seasonal drought forecasting SPI
类型	Article ; Early Access
语种	英语
收录类别	SCI-E
WOS记录号	WOS:000636916500001
WOS类目	Geosciences, Multidisciplinary ; Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences ; Water Resources
WOS研究方向	Geology ; Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences ; Water Resources
资源类型	期刊论文
条目标识符	http://119.78.100.177/qdio/handle/2XILL650/352403
作者单位	[Moradian, Sogol; Yazdandoost, Farhad] KN Toosi Univ Technol, Dept Civil Engn, 1346 Mirdamad Intersect,Valiasr Ave, Tehran 19697, Iran
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714	Moradian, Sogol,Yazdandoost, Farhad. Seasonal meteorological drought projections over Iran using the NMME data[J],2021.
APA	Moradian, Sogol,&Yazdandoost, Farhad.(2021).Seasonal meteorological drought projections over Iran using the NMME data.NATURAL HAZARDS.
MLA	Moradian, Sogol,et al."Seasonal meteorological drought projections over Iran using the NMME data".NATURAL HAZARDS (2021).