干旱区生态环境知识资源中心(Arid): Climate change impacts on pistachio cultivation areas in Iran: a simulation analysis based on CORDEX-MENA multi-model ensembles

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DOI	10.1007/s00704-021-03614-z
	Climate change impacts on pistachio cultivation areas in Iran: a simulation analysis based on CORDEX-MENA multi-model ensembles
	Ahmadi, Hamzeh; Baaghideh, Mohammad; Dadashi-Roudbari, Abbasali
通讯作者	Ahmadi, H (corresponding author), Hakim Sabzevari Univ, Fac Geog & Environm Sci, Dept Climatol, Sabzevar, Iran.
来源期刊	THEORETICAL AND APPLIED CLIMATOLOGY
ISSN	0177-798X
EISSN	1434-4483
出版年	2021
卷号	145 期号:1-2 页码:109-120
英文摘要	Climate and especially air temperature have a direct and high impact on nut trees in arid regions. In this regard, the use of multi-model ensemble projections as more reliable models is important. In this study, based on multi-model ensembles (MME) from the coordinated regional climate downscaling experiment Middle East North Africa (CORDEX-MENA), the air temperature in RCP8.5 and RCP4.5 pathways in pistachio cultivation areas in Iran was projected. The period 1980 to 2017 was identified as the reference period. Due to the sensitivity of climate change and the existing uncertainties, the hourly temperatures based on the models of chilling hours (CH) and chilling portions (CP) were also used for the reference period. The results of CORDEX simulations for pistachio cultivation areas suggest that the minimum and maximum annual air temperature (MMAT) and growing season temperature (GST) at the end of the current century compared to 1980-2017 as the reference period will increase significantly to 4 degrees C. The downward trend of winter chill accumulation during the cold season based on observational data will confirm the increase in air temperature in pistachio cultivation areas in Iran. In the output simulation of CORDEX project, the date of flowering pistachio tree for late-maturing varieties by 2080 under representative concentration pathway (RCPs) RCP8.5 and RCP4.5 will occur 16 days and 6 days sooner, respectively. The amount of heat accumulation or growing degree days (GDD) in the future in pistachio cultivation areas will be increased, and deviation from the historical period, based on RCP8.5 and RCP4.5 on average, will occur 3200 and 2600 GDD, respectively.
英文关键词	Climate change CORDEX project Multi-model ensembles (MME) Pistachio Winter chill
类型	Article
语种	英语
收录类别	SCI-E
WOS记录号	WOS:000641224300001
WOS类目	Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences
WOS研究方向	Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences
资源类型	期刊论文
条目标识符	http://119.78.100.177/qdio/handle/2XILL650/351888
作者单位	[Ahmadi, Hamzeh; Baaghideh, Mohammad] Hakim Sabzevari Univ, Fac Geog & Environm Sci, Dept Climatol, Sabzevar, Iran; [Dadashi-Roudbari, Abbasali] Ferdowsi Univ Mashhad, Dept Geog, Mashhad, Razavi Khorasan, Iran
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714	Ahmadi, Hamzeh,Baaghideh, Mohammad,Dadashi-Roudbari, Abbasali. Climate change impacts on pistachio cultivation areas in Iran: a simulation analysis based on CORDEX-MENA multi-model ensembles[J],2021,145(1-2):109-120.
APA	Ahmadi, Hamzeh,Baaghideh, Mohammad,&Dadashi-Roudbari, Abbasali.(2021).Climate change impacts on pistachio cultivation areas in Iran: a simulation analysis based on CORDEX-MENA multi-model ensembles.THEORETICAL AND APPLIED CLIMATOLOGY,145(1-2),109-120.
MLA	Ahmadi, Hamzeh,et al."Climate change impacts on pistachio cultivation areas in Iran: a simulation analysis based on CORDEX-MENA multi-model ensembles".THEORETICAL AND APPLIED CLIMATOLOGY 145.1-2(2021):109-120.