干旱区生态环境知识资源中心(Arid): Impacts of Future Climate Changes on Spatio-Temporal Distribution of Terrestrial Ecosystems over China

Arid

DOI	10.3390/su13063049
	Impacts of Future Climate Changes on Spatio-Temporal Distribution of Terrestrial Ecosystems over China
	Li, Shuaishuai; Zhang, Jiahua; Zhang, Sha; Bai, Yun; Cao, Dan; Cheng, Tiantian; Sun, Zhongtai; Liu, Qi; Sharma, Til Prasad Pangali
通讯作者	Zhang, JH (corresponding author), Qingdao Univ, Remote Sensing Informat & Digital Earth Ctr, Coll Comp Sci & Technol, Qingdao 266071, Peoples R China. ; Zhang, JH (corresponding author), Chinese Acad Sci, Key Lab Digital Earth Sci, Aerosp Informat Res Inst, Beijing 100094, Peoples R China. ; Zhang, JH (corresponding author), Univ Chinese Acad Sci, Coll Earth & Planetary Sci, Beijing 100049, Peoples R China.
来源期刊	SUSTAINABILITY
EISSN	2071-1050
出版年	2021
卷号	13 期号:6
英文摘要	Understanding the response of terrestrial ecosystems to future climate changes would substantially contribute to the scientific assessment of vegetation-climate interactions. Here, the spatiotemporal distribution and dynamics of vegetation in China were projected and compared based on comprehensive sequential classification system (CSCS) model under representative concentration pathway (RCP) RCP2.6, RCP4.5, and RCP8.5 scenarios, and five sensitivity levels were proposed. The results show that the CSCS model performs well in simulating vegetation distribution. The number of vegetation types would increase from 36 to 40. Frigid-perhumid rain tundra and alpine meadow are the most distributed vegetation types, with an area of more than 78.45 x 10(4) km(2), whereas there are no climate conditions suitable for tropical-extra-arid tropical desert in China. Some plants would benefit from climate changes to a certain extent. Warm temperate-arid warm temperate zone semidesert would expand by more than 1.82% by the 2080s. A continuous expansion of more than 18.81 x 10(4) km(2) and northward shift of more than 124.93 km in tropical forest would occur across all three scenarios. However, some ecosystems would experience inevitable changes. More than 1.33% of cool temperate-extra-arid temperate zone desert would continuously shrink. Five sensitivity levels present an interphase distribution. More extreme scenarios would result in wider ecosystem responses. The evolutionary trend from cold-arid vegetation to warm-wet vegetation is a prominent feature despite the variability in ecosystem responses to climate changes.
英文关键词	terrestrial ecosystems potential natural vegetation (PNV) comprehensive and sequential classification system (CSCS) future climate scenarios sensitivity China
类型	Article
语种	英语
开放获取类型	gold
收录类别	SCI-E ; SSCI
WOS记录号	WOS:000645711600001
WOS关键词	CLASSIFICATION-SYSTEM ; POTENTIAL VEGETATION ; MODEL ; DYNAMICS ; SCENARIOS ; SENSITIVITY ; PATTERNS ; COVER ; LAI
WOS类目	Green & Sustainable Science & Technology ; Environmental Sciences ; Environmental Studies
WOS研究方向	Science & Technology - Other Topics ; Environmental Sciences & Ecology
资源类型	期刊论文
条目标识符	http://119.78.100.177/qdio/handle/2XILL650/351826
作者单位	[Li, Shuaishuai; Zhang, Jiahua; Zhang, Sha; Bai, Yun; Cheng, Tiantian; Sun, Zhongtai] Qingdao Univ, Remote Sensing Informat & Digital Earth Ctr, Coll Comp Sci & Technol, Qingdao 266071, Peoples R China; [Li, Shuaishuai; Zhang, Jiahua; Zhang, Sha; Bai, Yun; Cao, Dan; Sharma, Til Prasad Pangali] Chinese Acad Sci, Key Lab Digital Earth Sci, Aerosp Informat Res Inst, Beijing 100094, Peoples R China; [Zhang, Jiahua; Cao, Dan; Liu, Qi; Sharma, Til Prasad Pangali] Univ Chinese Acad Sci, Coll Earth & Planetary Sci, Beijing 100049, Peoples R China
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714	Li, Shuaishuai,Zhang, Jiahua,Zhang, Sha,et al. Impacts of Future Climate Changes on Spatio-Temporal Distribution of Terrestrial Ecosystems over China[J],2021,13(6).
APA	Li, Shuaishuai.,Zhang, Jiahua.,Zhang, Sha.,Bai, Yun.,Cao, Dan.,...&Sharma, Til Prasad Pangali.(2021).Impacts of Future Climate Changes on Spatio-Temporal Distribution of Terrestrial Ecosystems over China.SUSTAINABILITY,13(6).
MLA	Li, Shuaishuai,et al."Impacts of Future Climate Changes on Spatio-Temporal Distribution of Terrestrial Ecosystems over China".SUSTAINABILITY 13.6(2021).