干旱区生态环境知识资源中心(Arid): Consequences of climate change on food-energy-water systems in arid regions without agricultural adaptation, analyzed using FEWCalc and DSSAT

Arid

DOI	10.1016/j.resconrec.2020.105309
	Consequences of climate change on food-energy-water systems in arid regions without agricultural adaptation, analyzed using FEWCalc and DSSAT
	Phetheet, Jirapat; Hill, Mary C.; Barron, Robert W.; Rossi, Matthew W.; Amanor-Boadu, Vincent; Wu, Hongyu; Kisekka, Isaya
通讯作者	Phetheet, J ; Hill, MC (corresponding author), Univ Kansas, Dept Geol, Lawrence, KS 66045 USA.
来源期刊	RESOURCES CONSERVATION AND RECYCLING
ISSN	0921-3449
EISSN	1879-0658
出版年	2021
卷号	168
英文摘要	Effects of a changing climate on agricultural system productivity are poorly understood, and likely to be met with as yet undefined agricultural adaptations by farmers and associated business and governmental entities. The continued vitality of agricultural systems depends on economic conditions that support farmers' livelihoods. Exploring the long-term effects of adaptations requires modeling agricultural and economic conditions to engage stakeholders upon whom the burden of any adaptation will rest. Here, we use a new freeware model FEWCalc (Food-Energy-Water Calculator) to project farm incomes based on climate, crop selection, irrigation practices, water availability, and economic adaptation of adding renewable energy production. Thus, FEWCalc addresses United Nations Global Sustainability Goals No Hunger and Affordable and Clean Energy. Here, future climate scenario impacts on crop production and farm incomes are simulated when current agricultural practices continue so that no agricultural adaptations are enabled. The model Decision Support System for Agrotechnology Transfer (DSSAT) with added arid-region dynamics is used to simulate agricultural dynamics. Demonstrations at a site in the midwest USA with 2008-2017 historical data and two 2018-2098 RCP climate scenarios provide an initial quantification of increased agricultural challenges under climate change, such as reduced crop yields and increased financial losses. Results show how this finding is largely driven by increasing temperatures and changed distribution of precipitation throughout the year. Without effective technological advances and operational and policy changes, the simulations show how rural areas could increasingly depend economically on local renewable energy, while agricultural production from arid regions declines by 50% or more.
英文关键词	Food energy and water Climate scenarios Renewable energy Stakeholder engagement Freely available system analysis software
类型	Article
语种	英语
收录类别	SCI-E
WOS记录号	WOS:000657289000047
WOS关键词	SHARED SOCIOECONOMIC PATHWAYS ; CHANGE IMPACTS ; IRRIGATION ; PRECIPITATION ; CO2
WOS类目	Engineering, Environmental ; Environmental Sciences
WOS研究方向	Engineering ; Environmental Sciences & Ecology
来源机构	University of California, Davis
资源类型	期刊论文
条目标识符	http://119.78.100.177/qdio/handle/2XILL650/351566
作者单位	[Phetheet, Jirapat; Hill, Mary C.] Univ Kansas, Dept Geol, Lawrence, KS 66045 USA; [Barron, Robert W.] Western New England Univ, Dept Ind Engn & Engn Management, Springfield, MA 01115 USA; [Rossi, Matthew W.] Univ Colorado, Cooperat Inst Res Environm Sci, Earth Lab, Boulder, CO 80303 USA; [Amanor-Boadu, Vincent] Kansas State Univ, Dept Agr Econ, Manhattan, KS 66506 USA; [Wu, Hongyu] Kansas State Univ, Mike Wiegers Dept Elect & Comp Engn, Manhattan, KS 66506 USA; [Kisekka, Isaya] Univ Calif Davis, Dept Air Land & Water, Davis, CA 95616 USA
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714	Phetheet, Jirapat,Hill, Mary C.,Barron, Robert W.,et al. Consequences of climate change on food-energy-water systems in arid regions without agricultural adaptation, analyzed using FEWCalc and DSSAT[J]. University of California, Davis,2021,168.
APA	Phetheet, Jirapat.,Hill, Mary C..,Barron, Robert W..,Rossi, Matthew W..,Amanor-Boadu, Vincent.,...&Kisekka, Isaya.(2021).Consequences of climate change on food-energy-water systems in arid regions without agricultural adaptation, analyzed using FEWCalc and DSSAT.RESOURCES CONSERVATION AND RECYCLING,168.
MLA	Phetheet, Jirapat,et al."Consequences of climate change on food-energy-water systems in arid regions without agricultural adaptation, analyzed using FEWCalc and DSSAT".RESOURCES CONSERVATION AND RECYCLING 168(2021).