Arid
DOI10.3390/rs13040647
Historic and Simulated Desert-Oasis Ecotone Changes in the Arid Tarim River Basin, China
Sun, Fan; Wang, Yi; Chen, Yaning; Li, Yupeng; Zhang, Qifei; Qin, Jingxiu; Kayumba, Patient Mindje
通讯作者Wang, Y (corresponding author), Chinese Acad Sci, Xinjiang Inst Ecol & Geog, State Key Lab Desert & Oasis Ecol, Urumqi 830011, Xinjiang, Peoples R China. ; Wang, Y (corresponding author), North China Elect Power Univ, Sch Water Resources & Hydropower Engn, Beijing 102206, Peoples R China.
来源期刊REMOTE SENSING
EISSN2072-4292
出版年2021
卷号13期号:4
英文摘要The desert-oasis ecotone, as a crucial natural barrier, maintains the stability of oasis agricultural production and protects oasis habitat security. This paper investigates the dynamic evolution of the desert-oasis ecotone in the Tarim River Basin and predicts the near-future land-use change in the desert-oasis ecotone using the cellular automata-Markov (CA-Markov) model. Results indicate that the overall area of the desert-oasis ecotone shows a shrinking trend (from 67,642 km(2) in 1990 to 46,613 km(2) in 2015) and the land-use change within the desert-oasis ecotone is mainly manifested by the conversion of a large amount of forest and grass area into arable land. The increasing demand for arable land for groundwater has led to a decline in the groundwater level, which is an important reason for the habitat deterioration in the desert-oasis ecotone. The rising temperature and drought have further exacerbated this trend. Assuming the current trend in development without intervention, the CA-Markov model predicts that by 2030, there will be an additional 1566 km(2) of arable land and a reduction of 1151 km(2) in forested area and grassland within the desert-oasis ecotone, which will inevitably further weaken the ecological barrier role of the desert-oasis ecotone and trigger a growing ecological crisis.
英文关键词Tarim River Basin desert-oasis ecotone land-use change CA-Markov model
类型Article
语种英语
开放获取类型gold
收录类别SCI-E ; SSCI
WOS记录号WOS:000624434300001
WOS类目Environmental Sciences ; Geosciences, Multidisciplinary ; Remote Sensing ; Imaging Science & Photographic Technology
WOS研究方向Environmental Sciences & Ecology ; Geology ; Remote Sensing ; Imaging Science & Photographic Technology
来源机构中国科学院新疆生态与地理研究所
资源类型期刊论文
条目标识符http://119.78.100.177/qdio/handle/2XILL650/351477
作者单位[Sun, Fan; Wang, Yi; Chen, Yaning; Li, Yupeng; Zhang, Qifei; Qin, Jingxiu; Kayumba, Patient Mindje] Chinese Acad Sci, Xinjiang Inst Ecol & Geog, State Key Lab Desert & Oasis Ecol, Urumqi 830011, Xinjiang, Peoples R China; [Sun, Fan; Zhang, Qifei; Qin, Jingxiu; Kayumba, Patient Mindje] Univ Chinese Acad Sci, Coll Resources & Environm, Beijing 100049, Peoples R China; [Wang, Yi] North China Elect Power Univ, Sch Water Resources & Hydropower Engn, Beijing 102206, Peoples R China
推荐引用方式
GB/T 7714
Sun, Fan,Wang, Yi,Chen, Yaning,et al. Historic and Simulated Desert-Oasis Ecotone Changes in the Arid Tarim River Basin, China[J]. 中国科学院新疆生态与地理研究所,2021,13(4).
APA Sun, Fan.,Wang, Yi.,Chen, Yaning.,Li, Yupeng.,Zhang, Qifei.,...&Kayumba, Patient Mindje.(2021).Historic and Simulated Desert-Oasis Ecotone Changes in the Arid Tarim River Basin, China.REMOTE SENSING,13(4).
MLA Sun, Fan,et al."Historic and Simulated Desert-Oasis Ecotone Changes in the Arid Tarim River Basin, China".REMOTE SENSING 13.4(2021).
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