干旱区生态环境知识资源中心(Arid): Geospatial land surface-based thermal scenarios for wetland ecological risk assessment and its landscape dynamics simulation in Bayanbulak Wetland, Northwestern China

Arid

DOI	10.1007/s10980-021-01240-8
	Geospatial land surface-based thermal scenarios for wetland ecological risk assessment and its landscape dynamics simulation in Bayanbulak Wetland, Northwestern China
	Kayumba, Patient Mindje; Chen, Yaning; Mind'je, Richard; Mindje, Mapendo; Li, Xiaoyang; Maniraho, Albert Poponi; Umugwaneza, Adeline; Uwamahoro, Solange
通讯作者	Chen, YN (corresponding author), Chinese Acad Sci, Xinjiang Inst Ecol & Geog, State Key Lab Desert & Oasis Ecol, 818 South Beijing Rd, Urumqi 830011, Xinjiang, Peoples R China.
来源期刊	LANDSCAPE ECOLOGY
ISSN	0921-2973
EISSN	1572-9761
出版年	2021
卷号	36 期号:6 页码:1699-1723
英文摘要	Context Modifications to land surface thermal regime by climate change and land cover/land-use change may influence ecosystem structure and function in arid landscapes, but relevant studies are scarce. Large changes in the land surface thermal regime can disturb the hydro-ecological integrity of these landscapes. Thus, it is important to assess landscape change and ecological risk to promote arid landscape sustainability. Objectives This study predicted the landscape change and quantified the Bayanbulak ecological risk evolution through a susceptibility-hazard assessment system. Methods CA-Markov model was used to simulate the landscape change, while ERA model that builds the susceptibility-hazard indices rapport was applied to evaluate the Bayanbulak wetland ecological risk using 30 m remotely sensed data. Results Findings unveiled that modifications in water, meadow, and marshes are predicted to decline at a rate of 39.3, 6.32, 23.98% in 2069 respectively. As wetland hazard, the LST average increased from 20 to 22 degrees C with a maximum value of 35.2 degrees C from 1994 to 2019. Likewise, wetland susceptibility mean value increased from 1.10 to 1.20, a growth rate of 9.09%. Though the decline in high-risk zones, moderate risk zones drastically augmented at the extent of 70.5% while low risk and no risk zones declined with a reduction rate of 18.9 and 95.8% respectively. Overall observations exhibited that Bayanbulak ecological risk is slightly evolving. Conclusion Bayanbulak is a pool of ecosystem services. By highlighting its ecological risk evolution, we call upon the focus on factors driving LST increment and adopt climatic adaptation measures of aqua-terrestrial ecosystems for Bayanbulak management.
英文关键词	Bayanbulak wetland CA Markov model Ecological risk assessment Land surface temperature
类型	Article
语种	英语
收录类别	SCI-E ; SSCI
WOS记录号	WOS:000636633900001
WOS类目	Ecology ; Geography, Physical ; Geosciences, Multidisciplinary
WOS研究方向	Environmental Sciences & Ecology ; Physical Geography ; Geology
来源机构	中国科学院新疆生态与地理研究所
资源类型	期刊论文
条目标识符	http://119.78.100.177/qdio/handle/2XILL650/351094
作者单位	[Kayumba, Patient Mindje; Chen, Yaning; Mind'je, Richard; Li, Xiaoyang; Maniraho, Albert Poponi; Umugwaneza, Adeline; Uwamahoro, Solange] Chinese Acad Sci, Xinjiang Inst Ecol & Geog, State Key Lab Desert & Oasis Ecol, 818 South Beijing Rd, Urumqi 830011, Xinjiang, Peoples R China; [Kayumba, Patient Mindje; Chen, Yaning; Mind'je, Richard; Li, Xiaoyang; Maniraho, Albert Poponi; Umugwaneza, Adeline; Uwamahoro, Solange] Univ Chinese Acad Sci, Beijing 100049, Peoples R China; [Umugwaneza, Adeline] Univ Lay Adventists Kigali UNILAK, Fac Environm Sci, Kigali 6392, Rwanda; [Mindje, Mapendo] Univ Rwanda, Coll Agr Anim Sci & Vet Med, Ctr Excellence Biodivers & Nat Resources Manageme, Huye 117, Rwanda
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714	Kayumba, Patient Mindje,Chen, Yaning,Mind'je, Richard,et al. Geospatial land surface-based thermal scenarios for wetland ecological risk assessment and its landscape dynamics simulation in Bayanbulak Wetland, Northwestern China[J]. 中国科学院新疆生态与地理研究所,2021,36(6):1699-1723.
APA	Kayumba, Patient Mindje.,Chen, Yaning.,Mind'je, Richard.,Mindje, Mapendo.,Li, Xiaoyang.,...&Uwamahoro, Solange.(2021).Geospatial land surface-based thermal scenarios for wetland ecological risk assessment and its landscape dynamics simulation in Bayanbulak Wetland, Northwestern China.LANDSCAPE ECOLOGY,36(6),1699-1723.
MLA	Kayumba, Patient Mindje,et al."Geospatial land surface-based thermal scenarios for wetland ecological risk assessment and its landscape dynamics simulation in Bayanbulak Wetland, Northwestern China".LANDSCAPE ECOLOGY 36.6(2021):1699-1723.