Arid
DOI10.2166/wcc.2020.234
Temporal trends in extreme temperature and precipitation events in an arid area: case of Chichaoua Mejjate region (Morocco)
Hadri, Abdessamad; Saidi, Mohamed El Mehdi; Saouabe, Tarik; El Fels, Abdelhafid El Alaoui
通讯作者Hadri, A (corresponding author), Cadi Ayyad Univ, Georesources Geoenvironm & Civil Engn Lab, Marrakech, Morocco.
来源期刊JOURNAL OF WATER AND CLIMATE CHANGE
ISSN2040-2244
EISSN2408-9354
出版年2021
卷号12期号:3页码:895-915
英文摘要Extreme climate events often have a significant and direct impact on social, economic, and environmental systems. This study is an attempt to characterize the current trends and future projections of extreme climatic indices in an arid region of Morocco on both an annual and a seasonal scale using 12 precipitation and temperature-based indices. The Mann-Kendall test was used to assess the trends, and the inverse distance weighted interpolation method was employed to analyze the spatial distribution of extreme precipitation indices. The results showed that the most extreme climate indices are spatially distributed with a clear gradient from the mountainous area toward the plains. Furthermore, the analysis indicates nonsignificant downward trends in the number of days with a rainfall amount greater than 10 or 20 mm. However, a significant negative trend in the consecutive dry days was observed at the Iloujdane and Sidi Bouathmane stations. The temperature indices have recorded statistically significant upward trends at all the stations. Finally, based on the RCP4.5 and RCP8.5 scenarios, future climate change simulations show, respectively, annual precipitation decreases of 23 and 34% and temperature increases of 1.9 and 2.8 degrees C, which could imply substantial losses of cereal yield in the rainfed agriculture.
英文关键词arid region extreme precipitation extreme temperature future projection Morocco trend
类型Article
语种英语
开放获取类型hybrid
收录类别SCI-E
WOS记录号WOS:000649181400016
WOS关键词CLIMATE-CHANGE ; T-TEST ; RAINFALL ; VULNERABILITY ; VARIABILITY ; PROJECTIONS ; IMPACTS ; DROUGHT ; INDEXES ; AFRICA
WOS类目Water Resources
WOS研究方向Water Resources
资源类型期刊论文
条目标识符http://119.78.100.177/qdio/handle/2XILL650/351045
作者单位[Hadri, Abdessamad; Saidi, Mohamed El Mehdi; Saouabe, Tarik; El Fels, Abdelhafid El Alaoui] Cadi Ayyad Univ, Georesources Geoenvironm & Civil Engn Lab, Marrakech, Morocco
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Hadri, Abdessamad,Saidi, Mohamed El Mehdi,Saouabe, Tarik,et al. Temporal trends in extreme temperature and precipitation events in an arid area: case of Chichaoua Mejjate region (Morocco)[J],2021,12(3):895-915.
APA Hadri, Abdessamad,Saidi, Mohamed El Mehdi,Saouabe, Tarik,&El Fels, Abdelhafid El Alaoui.(2021).Temporal trends in extreme temperature and precipitation events in an arid area: case of Chichaoua Mejjate region (Morocco).JOURNAL OF WATER AND CLIMATE CHANGE,12(3),895-915.
MLA Hadri, Abdessamad,et al."Temporal trends in extreme temperature and precipitation events in an arid area: case of Chichaoua Mejjate region (Morocco)".JOURNAL OF WATER AND CLIMATE CHANGE 12.3(2021):895-915.
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